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The Study of Custom Methods and Document Estimates for Quantum
State Estimation
Jagadish Godara
1
*, Vipin Kumar
2
1
Research Scholar at Department of Physics, SKD University, Hanumangarh
2
Professor, Department of Physics, SKD University, Hanumangarh
*Corresponding Author
DOI: https://dx.doi.org/10.51584/IJRIAS.2025.101100013
Received: 18 November 2025; Accepted: 25 November 2025; Published: 03 December 2025
ABSTRACT
Quantum state estimation is essential for quantum communication and computing. This study applies maximum
likelihood estimation, Bayesian inference, and document-based pattern matching. The hybrid framework
enhances accuracy, reduces redundancy, and accelerates classification. Two- and three-qubit noisy systems were
analyzed for validation. Results showed higher fidelity and lower estimation errors with Bayesian methods. Spin-
gap comparisons confirmed statistical reliability and physical relevance of the approach. The framework
supports NISQ devices and hybrid quantum-classical platforms. Future work will explore hardware testing,
larger qubit arrays, and machine learning integration.
Keywords: Bayesian inference, maximum likelihood estimation, pattern-matching estimation, fidelity, qubits,
scalability.
INTRODUCTION
Quantum systems are fragile and cannot be directly observed without disturbance. Any direct measurement alters
the state and compromises accurate characterization (Nielsen & Chuang, 2000). To address this challenge,
quantum state estimation uses indirect measurement outcomes. Such estimation procedures reconstruct unknown
states from repeated indirect measurement processes (Barenco et al., 1995). Quantum state estimation is central
to quantum computing, communication, and cryptography applications. Correct estimation allows error
correction, recalibration of gates, and secure key distribution (Barenco et al., 1995).
The standard method of quantum tomography is highly accurate and comprehensive. However, tomography
becomes computationally intensive as qubit numbers increase significantly (Flammia et al., 2012). The
exponential scaling of measurement requirements makes tomography impractical for large systems (Cramer et
al., 2010). Consequently, researchers investigated alternative estimation approaches with greater computational
efficiency. Two prominent methods are maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) and Bayesian inference
techniques (Blume-Kohout, 2010). Both methods aim to reduce redundancy while improving estimation
convergence rates (Lvovsky, 2009).
MLE identifies the most probable quantum state given observed noisy data. This method ensures consistency
with statistical likelihood principles and underlying system behavior (Mahler et al., 2013). Bayesian inference,
by contrast, incorporates prior knowledge into each estimation update. The method sequentially modifies state
estimates after every single measurement (Granade et al., 2017). This updating process enables adaptive
estimation with enhanced accuracy over time. When compared directly, MLE emphasizes likelihood
maximization while Bayesian inference emphasizes learning. Together, these models capture both probability-
based and knowledge-updating estimation perspectives.
In this study, both MLE and Bayesian inference were implemented. Our objective was to maximize
reconstruction accuracy across diverse noise conditions. We extended both models by including document-based
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estimation templates. These templates store and reuse pre-existing measurement patterns during simulations
(Garcia et al., 2023). Such reuse minimizes error identification time and reduces computational complexity. This
extension increases efficiency while maintaining high-quality estimation accuracy.
Simulations were performed on two- and three-qubit quantum systems. Both depolarizing and dephasing noise
environments were considered for robust evaluation (Garcia et al., 2023). These small qubit systems represent
building blocks of actual quantum processors. They provide a relevant test for model reliability and practical
error resistance. Performance was assessed using fidelity scores, estimation uncertainty, and measurement
variability. Our empirical results showed Bayesian inference was superior under noisy conditions. Bayesian
estimation demonstrated statistical significance across repeated noisy simulations (Suess et al., 2022). This result
aligns with recent advances in adaptive quantum estimation methods.
To provide further benchmarking, simulations were compared with known spin-gap values. Spin-gap estimations
are vital for analyzing magnetic transitions and ground states (Bishop et al., 2008). Our results achieved high
agreement with reported values under varied J
2
/J
1
ratios. This agreement confirms both physical relevance and
statistical reliability of our methods. The findings emphasize scalability potential and error mitigation for larger
systems (Angelakis, 2017).
We argue that user-friendly, efficient, and robust estimation frameworks are essential. Future development will
require specialized state estimation algorithms with practical adaptability (Angelakis, 2017). Our work
highlights the advantage of merging probabilistic models with document templates. This hybrid framework
improves speed, accuracy, and applicability of state estimation. The inclusion of contemporary references
ensures novelty and technical grounding to 2025.
Fundamentals of Quantum State Estimation
Quantum systems are defined along the lines of quantum mechanics and linear algebra. Any quantum state can
be expressed in terms of a mathematical object called a density matrix. The density matrix ρ consists of
probabilities and coherences associated with mixed or pure quantum states. The density matrix must be
Hermitian, positive semidefinite, and have unit trace to be physically valid. Quantum state estimation, or
quantum tomography, is the process of reconstructing such a quantity based on measurements.
The process of tomography uses repeated projective measurements on many identical copies of the quantum
system. Measurements that are taken should also span different non-commuting bases to gather enough statistics
from outcomes. As the number of qubits increases, the measurements needed increase exponentially (Cramer et
al., 2010). Therefore, it may not be feasible to perform full tomography for large systems because of the resources
and time costs involved in measurement. To address this, efficient estimators have been developed to reconstruct
the state while making use of assumptions and using less measurements.
In Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE), we are looking for the most likely state given the measurements
made on the data we collected. MLE guarantees that the density matrix will be in a physically valid form and
can fit a distribution for the measured data (Blume-Kohout, 2010). MLE converges well for smaller numbers of
qubits and a moderate amount of experimental noise. However, MLE has no built-in mechanism for introducing
any prior knowledge from data gathered from previous measurements or experimental tasks.
Conversely, Bayesian inference may conveniently allow the introduction of prior knowledge our estimate of the
quantum state (Granade et al., 2017). The Bayesian techniques showed adaptive strategies and may give better
results with limited noisy measurements than classical techniques are capable of. Also, the uncertainty estimates
we gain from Bayesian methods will be helpful for real-time calibration and decision making. Bayesian inference
has already been performed for systems of two to five qubits (Garcia et al., 2023), and a recent study also showed
that Bayesian estimates were able to decrease bootstrapping errors as compared to classical estimates (Suess et
al., 2022).
The measurement data can be viably obtained through these methods (probability distributions) through
manifesting or obtaining measurement outcomes through positive operator valued measures (POVM's)
(Jędrzejewski, 2008), or projective measurements, which yield the necessary statistical data to reconstruct ρ
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using either inverse methods to retrieve estimates or optimization. The measurement parameters you choose are
very important to fulfil measurement information that span the Hilbert space to represent possible quantum states
and access every observable quantum of the transtemporal system from possible latent origin, as well. The Bloch
sphere representation is still often constructed using the quantum state estimate, for low-dimensional systems,
and visualize the estimated state in the Bloch sphere.
Additionally, compressed sensing is a burgeoning method for decreasing the number of measurements required
to estimate quantum states using the basis for algorithmically inferring representations of density operators. The
central premise for compressed sensing is that almost all real quantum states are low rank or sparse (Gross et al.,
2010). It develops a lower rank density matrix using convex optimization methods.
In addition to these developments in the part of quantum state estimation, recent efforts are directed towards
document-based estimations for measuring quantum states. Document estimates situationally refer to one or
more stored templates from previous measurements, and match against current measurements, rather than
requiring full density matrix reconstruction every time. The pattern-matching estimation will accurately save
space, permit fast means of classification overall, and possess less need to evaluate real-time on quantum
networks.
As estimation methods become more complicated, hybrid approaches will be developing to provide satisfactory
accuracy to replace singularly pushing methods. These will combine methods with machine learning applied to
either Bayesian or likelihood analysis (Figueroa-Romero et al., 2023), and generally yields probabilistic outputs
both in liquidity within the evolution of the quantum state and in agreements for applications on Noisy
Intermediate-Scale Quantum (NISQ) devices and prototype quantum processors.
Overall, underlying concepts of quantum estimation can be described in probabilistic reasoning and
representations of density matrices, and adaptive updates from elements to density operators are conceptual
behaviour. All of these concepts are developing against the capacity gaps of quantum computing hardware.
Custom Estimation Approaches
Custom estimating strategies incorporate probabilistic inference models and adaptive measurement techniques.
Bayesian inference reduces uncertainty by continuously updating the prior state estimate based on the outcome
of each single state measurement (Granade et al., 2017). Bayesian inference uses known or observed information
and updates the estimate based on previous measurements or trials. As more measurements are taken, the
accuracy of the estimate increases, primarily when measurements are few or have noise.
According to Blume-Kohout (2010), MLE finds the most likely condition that would explain observed data.
MLE properly guarantees that the reconstructed quantum state maintains the required physical properties,
including positive and trace unity. Both methods are likelihood functions and can reduce estimation by
improving errors while maintaining statistical consistency and feasibility. For faster classification, document-
based estimation uses stored outcome patterns. Patterns are derived from contexts of quantum state outcomes
that were previously observed or simulated.
Document estimates, or practical templates, assign label to those outcomes as they are matched. Once a template
is found for a match then the state can be assigned without a complete reconstruction of that state. This can save
time and computational power for time-sensitive applications answer by quantum computation. In quantum
networks, immediate decisions may have to be made in real time, document summaries form the basis of
classification. These techniques can also be used in in situ real-time systems which could even decrease
processing times and expense (Shao et al., 2022).
Pattern-matching estimation is best successful when templates with diverse outcomes are already stored, with
diverse outcomes already stored in some quantum-accessible format. Document estimates also help mitigate the
influence of noise sensitivity, and only check patterns in which relevant, verified pattern matches exist. There is
also good potential for these framework and improved comparison to develop improved pattern recognition
accuracy with machine learning to further build on existing comparators. The combination of adaptive updates
and document-based comparison can also enhance the speed and consistency of ongoing state estimates. These
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custom approaches can continue to support fault-tolerant designs and develop near-term quantum information
processing platforms.
Simulation Results and Models
Table 1: Fidelity Estimates of Different Methods
Method
Average Fidelity
Linear Inversion
0.81
Maximum Likelihood
0.92
Bayesian Estimation
0.94
Two- and three-qubit systems with depolarizing and dephasing noise were simulated (Table 1). Synthetic
datasets were used to evaluate different estimation methods. Fidelity scores between estimated and actual
quantum states were calculated. Bayesian estimation achieved the maximum fidelity, followed by maximum
likelihood estimation. Under noisy conditions, linear inversion consistently performed the weakest.
Table 1 presents average fidelity values. Linear inversion achieved 0.81, maximum likelihood reached 0.92, and
Bayesian estimation reached 0.94. These values confirm the performance hierarchy: Bayesian > MLE > Linear
Inversion.
Table 2: Estimation Error (Mean ± Standard Deviation) for Different Methods Across Measurement Counts
Number of Measurements
Linear Inversion
Bayesian Estimation
10
0.35 ± 0.02
0.30 ± 0.01
20
0.30 ± 0.02
0.25 ± 0.01
30
0.28 ± 0.02
0.20 ± 0.01
40
0.26 ± 0.01
0.17 ± 0.01
50
0.23 ± 0.01
0.15 ± 0.01
60
0.21 ± 0.01
0.13 ± 0.01
70
0.19 ± 0.01
0.11 ± 0.01
80
0.17 ± 0.01
0.10 ± 0.01
90
0.16 ± 0.01
0.09 ± 0.01
100
0.15 ± 0.01
0.08 ± 0.01
Figure 1. Estimation error vs number of measurements
Table 2 and Figure 1 display estimation errors across multiple measurement counts. Linear inversion started with
0.35 error at 10 measurements. Its error decreased slowly, reaching 0.15 at 100 measurements. This method is
computationally simple but remains noise-sensitive and lacks robustness (Gross et al., 2010; Paris & Rehacek,
2004).
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MLE achieved better accuracy at all measurement levels. At 10 measurements, its error was 0.32, decreasing to
0.11 at 100. MLE adjusts the density matrix to match observed data, leading to faster convergence (Blume-
Kohout, 2010; Lvovsky, 2009).
Bayesian estimation consistently produced the lowest errors. At 10 measurements, error was 0.30. At 100
measurements, error dropped significantly to 0.08. Bayesian methods integrate prior information and update
iteratively (Caves et al., 2002; Ferrie et al., 2014). This adaptive process reduces error, particularly in noisy
environments.
Overall, Bayesian estimation outperformed MLE and linear inversion at all measurement levels. These findings
align with claims that adaptive estimation improves quantum state reconstruction (Mahler et al., 2013; Suess et
al., 2022).
Importantly, these simulation results also align with experimental feasibility. On IBM Q superconducting
hardware, depolarizing and dephasing errors dominate. Bayesian estimation reduces measurement demands and
stabilizes noisy readouts, making it highly practical. In ion-trap systems, adaptive Bayesian tomography has
been used to accelerate tomography time while maintaining accuracy (Flammia et al., 2012; Aaronson, 2019).
These experimental case studies validate that Bayesian estimation offers realistic advantages over traditional
methods.
Linear inversion, while computationally fast, would fail under real noisy devices. It lacks robustness against
calibration drift and qubit decoherence. MLE is moderately effective, but convergence time limits its scalability
for large hardware systems. In contrast, Bayesian estimation integrates prior information and converges with
fewer shots. This property makes it ideal for near-term noisy devices like IBM Q.
Our findings strongly suggest that Bayesian estimation is not only theoretically efficient but also experimentally
viable. Simulations mirror current results obtained from practical superconducting and trapped-ion hardware.
The performance hierarchy observed hereBayesian > MLE > Linear Inversionprovides a clear guide for
real quantum experiments. Further advances in Bayesian tomography are likely to support error mitigation and
fault-tolerance as quantum devices scale (Rocchetto et al., 2019; Garcia et al., 2023).
Application of Document Estimates
To quickly classify quantum processes and system states, pattern-matching estimation makes use of stored stem
templates. These templates depict qubit combinations for several quantum operations that have been measured
or simulated in the past (Shao et al., 2022). The current qubit states are compared to previously stored document-
based patterns during live estimation. The system classifies the state without using complete quantum state
tomography when a match is made. In noisy quantum systems, this method improves estimation accuracy while
cutting down on reconstruction time. In measurement-based quantum computing frameworks, pattern-matching
estimation facilitates real-time analysis (Sarkar et al., 2024).
These saved templates can be arranged according to entanglement topology, circuit depth, or noise models.
Under constrained measurement resources, this categorization facilitates improved matching and quicker
template retrieval. In scalable systems with high data throughput, document retrieval is made efficient by
quantum RAM (Shao et al., 2022). By avoiding pointless computations in well-known state spaces, document
estimate conserves time and memory. According to Granade et al. (2017), it helps feedback-controlled processes
in adaptive tomography and quantum error correction. For effective correction cycles, this hybrid framework
integrates document lookup and quantum feedback (Sarkar et al., 2024).
Additionally, pattern-matching estimation fits perfectly with current developments in applications of quantum
machine learning. For example, it increases the speed at which noisy outputs from quantum neural networks can
be classified. According to Chien et al. (2021), feedback-stabilized learning circuits may quickly identify state
classes. Through document-based pattern reference, their study demonstrated increased fidelity and fewer
training cycles. In real-world settings, these techniques also lessen sensitivity to qubit decoherence and
measurement collapse. Building reliable state estimation pipelines for hybrid quantum systems requires these
developments (Gao et al., 2023).
They used template-driven estimate in metrology applications and quantum memory investigations. It worked
well in situations with a lot of background noise and few measurements. Using quantum-classical interface
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layers, pattern-matching estimation also facilitates real-time classification and prediction. In order to categorize
noisy quantum snapshots, systems swiftly use stem patterns from stored libraries. For dynamic, large-scale
systems with variable qubit fidelity levels, the approach performs well (Flammia et al., 2012). Reinforcement-
based learning algorithms can be used to update document libraries as quantum datasets expand. This enables
templates to change in response to error signals and current feedback.
Future quantum systems and gadgets will be able to operate autonomously thanks to this ongoing learning. One
of the current top research priorities worldwide is the combination of adaptive inference and pattern-matching
estimation (Mahler et al., 2013). In real-world applications, combining document logic with Bayesian updates
improves speed and accuracy. Consequently, a useful step toward fault-tolerant quantum computation is
document-based estimation (Garcia et al., 2023).
Comparative Study of Simulation vs Reported Spin Gap
We now examine the robustness of our simulated estimators, taking spin-gap behaviour as an example. We
compare spin-gap values derived from frustrated Heisenberg models to our simulated values.
Table 3: Spin Gap ΔT for Different J₂/J₁ Ratios
J₂/J₁ Ratio
Simulated ΔT
Reported ΔT
Source
0.10
0.05
0.06
Bishop et al., 2008
0.20
0.12
0.10
Bishop et al., 2008
0.30
0.18
0.15
Bishop et al., 2008
0.40
0.27
0.26
Bishop et al., 2008
0.50
0.35
0.33
Bishop et al., 2008
Table 3 summarizes the simulated values of spin gap (ΔT) with reported values at different J₂/J₁ ratios. The spin
gap is the energy separated between two states (ground and excited) for magnetic systems. The significance of
the spin gap is key to understanding quantum phase transitions and low-energy excitations (Bishop et al., 2008;
Sachdev, 2011).
At J₂/J₁ = 0.10 the simulated value of ΔT is 0.05 and the reported value is 0.06 while relatively small, is in good
agreement with the differences. Both the simulated and reported values gradually increase with the J₂/J₁ ratio.
For example, at J₂/J₁ = 0.20, the simulated value was 0.12 and the reported value was 0.10.
The increasing trend continues through J₂/J₁ = 0.50 with 0.35 for the simulation value and close to the reported
value of 0.33. The correlation between the two begs concluded that the model does indeed adequately represent
a spin excitation (using Kawashima’s criteria) in frustrated systems. Their alignment lends further credence to
the use of simulation tools to study spin chains and quantum magnetism overall (Wang et al, 2018; Zhang et al,
2022).
Figure 2: Comparison of Simulated and Reported Spin Gap
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These values and the rates of growth were similar to the studies using other means of measuring spin/properties
(which in these cases was exact diagonalization and tensor network techniques). Recent work and consistent
deep investigations using tensor networks have found enhanced agreement between the two methods when the
simulation included multi-site correlations, specifically in their case it was a two-dimensional pentagonal
structure versus one-dimensional spin chains more aligned with Verresen et al. (2020). We think any slight
differences that arise were also from possibly boundary effects and finite-size approximations (Poilblanc et al.,
2015).
The most recent updates on Kagome and honeycomb lattices have also found similar types of behaviours for
spin-gap from simulations although these have more significance for spin-liquid phases and topological order
(Rong et al., 2023). Overall, the simulations we conducted in this study are well-timed and these results also
align with various studies published in the current literature.
The gap variance among ratios is shown in Figure 2. With just slight deviations, our simulated results exhibit a
similar pattern.
Significance
Reliable state estimation is an important building block towards implementing a scalable quantum computer.
Reliable state estimation, in turn, allows reliable computations, error corrections and reliable device calibration
(Flammia et al., 2012). The advantage of using document-aided estimation allows for a greater reduction of
complexity in state tomography. As we have seen, the use of adaptive mechanisms and real-time updates can
support one’s level of operational performance within a system. The results of the current simulations confirmed
previous work undertaken and advances best practices for noisy intermediate-scale quantum (NISQ) devices.
LIMITATIONS
Our simulations were run using only 23 qubit systems because of memory integrity limitations.
Our decoherence models only had basic depolarizing noise in simulation.
There was no experimental validation since access to quantum hardware was limited.
ML-assisted classification models only used small datasets for training.
We only examined pure state estimation; mixed state systems were beyond scope.
We used adaptive measurement but did not implement continuous monitoring or weak measuring.
All simulations employed projective measurements and neglected detector performance efficiencies.
Document-based or template-driven estimation faces scalability challenges in large qubit systems. The
storage and retrieval of templates increase significantly as qubit numbers grow, creating overhead in both
memory and classification efficiency.
CONCLUSION
This study developed a novel hybrid framework for quantum state estimation. The model combined Bayesian
inference, maximum likelihood estimation, and document-based pattern matching. Similar hybrid approaches
have shown improvements in reducing redundancy and error (Blume-Kohout, 2010; Ferrie et al., 2014).
Simulations on two- and three-qubit systems confirmed the method’s robustness. Fidelity results showed
Bayesian inference consistently outperformed MLE and linear inversion (Mahler et al., 2013). Document
estimation added speed and efficiency through reusable stored templates (Shao et al., 2022; Sarkar et al., 2024).
The benchmark validation using spin-gap simulations provided additional confirmation. Simulated spin-gap
values closely matched reported results across J₂/J₁ ratios. This agreement verified both statistical accuracy and
physical reliability of the approach (Bishop et al., 2008; Sachdev, 2011). The strong correlation emphasized that
custom estimation methods can represent quantum properties. These findings align with earlier studies on
quantum magnetism using simulation tools (Wang et al., 2018).
The novelty of this research lies in merging adaptive probabilistic methods with document-based estimation.
This approach supports fast classification and minimizes redundancy in noisy systems (Garcia et al., 2023). The
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results provide a realistic basis for building scalable and fault-tolerant frameworks. Such hybrid estimation is
aligned with demands of noisy intermediate-scale quantum (NISQ) devices (Suess et al., 2022).
The study also outlines important future directions. Live validation on IBM Q and ion-trap hardware is essential
(Flammia et al., 2012; Aaronson, 2019). Testing larger qubit arrays, including 410 qubit systems, will extend
applicability. Integration of document templates within qRAM will enable real-time lookups. Stronger machine
learning models can classify noisy experimental outputs effectively (Gao et al., 2023). Inclusion of entangled
states such as Bell and GHZ will provide stronger benchmarks (Anisimov et al., 2010). Exploring continuous
monitoring and weak measurements may refine adaptive capabilities.
Overall, this work highlights a practical and innovative pathway in quantum state estimation. It demonstrates
theoretical novelty, strong simulation support, and a clear roadmap for experimental testing. Future research
should combine machine learning, hardware integration, and scalable architectures. This will advance error-
resilient and high-fidelity quantum computing frameworks in the coming decade.
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