frameworks and supportive state-level programs [6]. Nonetheless, India’s cumulative rooftop capacity by early
2025 was estimated at only 16.3 GW, well below both the 40 GW target initially set for 2022 and the technical
potential of over 200 GW [3].
The geographical distribution of adoption remains highly uneven. Five states, Gujarat, Maharashtra, Rajasthan,
Kerala, and Tamil Nadu, account for nearly 70 percent of all rooftop capacity, underscoring the concentration
of diffusion in particular regions [7]. Gujarat stands out for its aggressive Surya Gujarat program, which enabled
the state to account for more than 60 percent of India’s cumulative residential rooftop capacity by FY2022 [1].
By contrast, several populous states such as Uttar Pradesh and Bihar have continued to lag due to limited policy
innovation, bureaucratic bottlenecks, and weaker vendor ecosystems [9].
The South Indian states present a particularly instructive case in the diversity of adoption trajectories. Tamil
Nadu has historically emphasized utility-scale solar projects, but rooftop adoption has grown only modestly,
with urban centers such as Chennai and Coimbatore leading deployment. Regulatory charges and intermittent
policy uncertainty have constrained wider adoption, although recent announcements, including a plan to install
10 GW of solar capacity by 2030, signal greater commitment to distributed systems [4]. Karnataka has witnessed
more substantial C&I adoption, particularly in Bengaluru’s technology parks and industrial estates, though
household uptake remains limited. The state has begun piloting virtual net metering models for multi-tenant
buildings, yet these remain in their infancy [7].
Andhra Pradesh has prioritized utility-scale solar parks such as the Kurnool Ultra Mega Solar Park, while rooftop
systems remain underdeveloped. Initiatives targeting agricultural feeders and public institutions have emerged,
but residential adoption continues to face challenges related to awareness and procedural delays [8]. Telangana,
meanwhile, has recorded moderate growth, especially in institutional and educational buildings around
Hyderabad, though overall diffusion is constrained by limited installer networks and slower uptake in peri-urban
and rural areas [7]. Kerala represents a distinct case. Despite relatively high consumer awareness, the state faces
structural constraints such as small roof sizes, shading, and monsoon-heavy conditions that reduce effective
generation potential. The Kerala State Electricity Board’s SOURA program, which installs and manages rooftop
systems directly on consumer premises, represents an innovative model aimed at overcoming consumer
hesitancy. Yet qualitative evidence suggests that households remain concerned about long-term maintenance
and reliability, which continues to dampen adoption despite favorable attitudes [5].
In synthesis, while residential adoption has accelerated under recent national programs, rooftop solar in India
remains unevenly distributed and heavily reliant on state-level policy and institutional capacity. Western states
such as Gujarat and Maharashtra continue to lead, while South Indian states illustrate the heterogeneity of
adoption pathways: Tamil Nadu and Karnataka demonstrate stronger C&I diffusion, Kerala highlights the
promise and pitfalls of utility-led programs, and Andhra Pradesh and Telangana remain in earlier stages of
household-level adoption. The emerging literature underscores that the alignment of central subsidies with stable
state regulatory frameworks, coupled with improved DISCOM incentives and consumer outreach, will be critical
to expanding adoption beyond current hotspots [7, 2].
Barriers to Adoption
The literature consistently identifies a set of interlinked financial, regulatory, procedural, informational, and
structural barriers that constrain the widespread diffusion of rooftop solar in India. Although the nature and
severity of these barriers vary across consumer segments and states, together they create a persistent gap between
technical potential and realized capacity.
A. Finance and Affordability
High upfront costs remain the most significant obstacle for residential households. Even after accounting for
central financial assistance and state-level subsidies, many low- and middle-income consumers report
affordability gaps, often due to limited access to low-interest or collateral-free credit [1]. For small and medium-
sized enterprises (SMEs), balance sheet constraints and heightened contract risk under third-party models such
as renewable energy service company (RESCO) agreements exacerbate financing challenges [8]. While
concessional loans and capital subsidies have reduced payback periods to more attractive ranges, survey
evidence indicates that cost remains the most cited deterrent to adoption among prospective household users [1].