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ISSN No. 2454-6186 | DOI: 10.47772/IJRISS | Volume IX Issue X October 2025
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Assessing the Impact of Climate Change on Liberias Agricultural Sector
and Strategic Adaptation Approaches
Allenton D. Allen Jr., Norah N. Giddings., Isaiah Nuah, Woubu M. Darkparyoun, Elijah Sayewaa
Hohai University, China
DOI: https://dx.doi.org/10.47772/IJRISS.2025.910000781
Received: 07 November 2025; Accepted: 14 November 2025; Published: 24 November 2025
ABSTRACT
Climate change poses a critical threat to agricultural systems and food security worldwide, with particularly
acute impacts in post-conflict nations like Liberia. This systematic literature review examines the impacts of
climate change on Liberia's agricultural sector and identifies context-appropriate adaptation strategies. We
analyzed 72 peer-reviewed articles and institutional reports (2011-2024) addressing agricultural productivity
under climate change in Sub-Saharan Africa and West African contexts applicable to Liberia. The review
synthesizes evidence on temperature increases, rainfall variability, drought stress, flooding, and pest
proliferation, all of which significantly reduce crop yields in tropical agricultural systems. Key adaptation
strategies identified include: crop diversification with drought- and flood-tolerant varieties, improved water
management, adjusted planting calendars based on climate forecasts, agroforestry systems, conservation
agriculture, integrated pest management, enhanced climate information services, and soil fertility management.
These strategies, drawn from regional experiences and adapted to Liberia's post-conflict context, offer
pathways to enhance agricultural resilience. However, significant research gaps remain regarding Liberia-
specific climate impacts and the effectiveness of adaptation interventions under local conditions. This review
provides evidence-based recommendations for policymakers, development partners, and researchers to support
climate-resilient agricultural development in Liberia.
Keywords: agriculture; climate change; Liberia; food productivity; adaptation strategies; post-conflict
recovery; systematic review; West Africa
INTRODUCTION
Climate change has emerged as one of the most pressing global challenges of the 21st century, with profound
impacts on agricultural systems and food security. Rising sea levels, biodiversity loss, diminishing soil
moisture, and the proliferation of plant pathogens represent well-documented consequences of anthropogenic
climate change (Singh et al., 2019; Heilmeier, 2019; Dorji et al., 2020; Pandey and Choudhary, 2019). Global
food security faces increasing threats from climate variability, with significant disruptions in crop productivity
observed across multiple regions (Ruminta, 2016). Ray et al. (2019) found that climate change has already
begun affecting global food production, with regions such as Australia, Europe, and Southern Africa
experiencing major crop losses, while Asia, North America, and Central America face more diverse and
region-specific challenges.
Greenhouse gas accumulation primarily carbon dioxide, methane, and nitrous oxides drives these changing
climate patterns, reshaping ecosystems and threatening food systems globally. International efforts have
focused on reducing carbon emissions, with agreements such as the Paris Climate Accord aiming to mitigate
global warming (Surmaini and Runtunuwu, 2015; Perdinan et al., 2019). However, extreme weather events
including floods, droughts, and temperature extremes continue to escalate, while shifting pest and disease
dynamics pose significant risks to food production, particularly in tropical regions of West Africa (Asnawi,
2015; Campbell et al., 2016). These disruptions undermine local agricultural systems that depend on climate
stability and are particularly vulnerable to unpredictable weather patterns (Hidayati and Suryanto, 2015).
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Liberia, still recovering from nearly 14 years of civil conflict (1989-2003), faces compounded agricultural
challenges. The conflict decimated agricultural infrastructure, displaced farming communities, and disrupted
traditional farming practices (AfDB, 2016). Climate change poses an additional layer of risk, threatening
fragile agricultural systems crucial for the livelihoods of approximately 70% of Liberia's population;
agriculture contributes around 34% of the nation's GDP (Government of Liberia, 2019). The sector remains
largely subsistence-based and heavily reliant on rainfall patterns, leaving smallholder farmers vulnerable to
unpredictable climate variations.
Liberia's tropical climate and coastal geography make it particularly susceptible to climate change impacts.
Rising sea levels threaten productive agricultural lands along the coast, while shifting rainfall patterns disrupt
traditional planting and harvesting schedules. Similar to neighboring West African countries including Sierra
Leone, Guinea, and te d'Ivoire, Liberia experiences increased temperature variability, altered rainy seasons,
more frequent extreme weather events, and agricultural pest expansion into new regions (FAO, 2016). These
changes pose significant risks to food security in a post-conflict nation striving to achieve stability and
sustainable development.
Despite agriculture's critical importance to Liberia's economy and food security, research on climate change
adaptation in the agricultural sector remains limited compared to other African nations such as Kenya, Ethiopia,
and South Africa, where extensive climate-agriculture studies have been conducted (Lobell et al., 2008; Elum
et al., 2017). This gap underscores the urgent need for systematic examination of climate change impacts and
potential adaptation strategies in the Liberian context. Understanding how climate change affects Liberian
agriculture and identifying appropriate adaptation strategies are essential for ensuring food security, reducing
rural poverty, and supporting sustainable development. The vulnerability is particularly acute because most
Liberian farmers are smallholders using traditional farming methods, with limited access to climate
information, improved agricultural inputs, or adaptive technologies (Jayne et al., 2010).
By drawing on regional studies from West Africa and applying lessons from similar post-conflict and tropical
contexts, this paper informs stakeholders about challenges and opportunities for maintaining agricultural
productivity under changing climatic conditions. Identifying and promoting context-appropriate adaptation
strategies is crucial for Liberia's agricultural resilience and long-term food security.
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METHODOLOGY
This systematic literature review focuses on assessing agricultural productivity under climate change, with a
specific emphasis on Sub-Saharan Africa, particularly contexts relevant to Liberia. The review synthesizes
peer-reviewed articles and institutional reports that explore climate impacts on agriculture and adaptation
strategies.
Search Strategy and Data Sources
The review utilized several electronic databases, including Google Scholar, ScienceDirect, Taylor and Francis
Online, Mendeley, Springer Link, and Wiley Online Library, with a publication date range from January 2011
to December 2024. Key search terms included "agriculture," "climate change," "food productivity,"
"adaptation strategies," "Liberia," "West Africa," "post-conflict agriculture," "smallholder farming," "tropical
agriculture," and "climate resilience." Additionally, institutional reports from organizations like the FAO,
World Bank, USAID, UNDP, AfDB, and WFP were incorporated to enrich the understanding of Liberia's
agricultural challenges and climate vulnerability.
Inclusion Criteria
The following criteria were applied to select relevant studies:
1. Focus on tropical or West African agricultural systems.
2. Research on smallholder farming adaptation to climate change.
3. Climate projections specific to coastal West Africa.
4. Publications from 2011-2024 to capture recent trends.
5. Studies on major Liberian crops such as rice, cassava, maize, and vegetables.
6. Reports directly referencing Liberia or comparable West African contexts.
Exclusion Criteria
The review excluded:
1. Studies focused on temperate or arid regions.
2. Research on large-scale commercial agriculture not relevant to Liberia’s smallholder context.
3. Publications before 2011, unless they were seminal works.
4. Non-peer-reviewed studies or those lacking clear methodologies (except institutional reports).
Data Analysis and Synthesis
A total of 72 sources were analyzed, with key information extracted on:
1. Climate change impacts, including temperature shifts, rainfall variability, drought, flooding, and pest
dynamics.
2. Effects on crop yields.
3. Adaptation strategies, their effectiveness, and challenges to implementation.
4. Applicability to Liberia’s post-conflict agricultural landscape.
The findings were synthesized thematically to identify:
1. Major climate change impacts on tropical agriculture.
2. Proven adaptation strategies from similar regions.
3. Context-appropriate recommendations for Liberia’s agricultural resilience.
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LIMITATIONS
The review primarily draws on regional studies, as there is a limited body of climate-agriculture research
specific to Liberia. While the findings from comparable West African contexts are valuable, local factors such
as soil types, microclimates, and socio-economic conditions may influence the applicability of these strategies.
Further primary research in Liberia is needed to validate and refine these recommendations. This methodology
provides a transparent, replicable framework for understanding the adaptation strategies relevant to Liberia’s
unique agricultural challenges.
Climate Change Indicators for Liberia
Table 1: Climate Change Indicators and Projections for Liberia
Indicator
Current/Observed Trends
Future Projections
Agricultural Implications
Rainfall
variability
Changes in onset; shortened rainy
season; increased extreme rainfall
events
More intense wet seasons; more
pronounced dry spells through
2100
Unpredictable patterns challenge
traditional planting calendars;
increased flood and drought risk
Temperature
increase
Average warming of ~0.27°C per
decade (1991-2020)
Projected warming of ~2.6°C by
the 2060s
Higher heat stress on crops and
livestock; accelerated crop
development; reduced yields
Sea-level rise /
coastal inundation
~60% of Liberians live on or near
coast; rising sea levels observed
Rise of 0.13-0.56 m by 2100 in
coastal zones
Saltwater intrusion; loss of arable
coastal lands; salinization of soils
Annual
precipitation
2,391 mm (2022); historical mean
~2,467 mm (1991-2020)
High variability projected;
overall totals may remain similar
but distribution will change
Timing shifts more critical than total
amounts; adaptation to variability
essential
Sources: Climate Knowledge Portal (World Bank); LDC Climate Change Portal; UNFCCC National
Communications; TheGlobalEconomy.com; ekmsliberia.info
Figure 1: Temperature and Precipitation Trends in Liberia (1991-2024)
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Climate Trends
Source: Liberia Meteorological Service; FAO Climate Data
Liberia remains one of the world's wettest countries with annual rainfall exceeding 2,300 mm. Yet, climate
change introduces greater variability in rainfall patterns regarding onset, duration, and intensity, coupled with
rising temperatures (Climate Knowledge Portal, 2024). The warming trend of approximately 0.27°C per
decade may appear modest, but in tropical systems where species and crops have narrow thermal tolerances,
even small temperature shifts significantly impact productivity (Heilmeier, 2019). For Liberian agriculture and
ecosystems, changes in rainfall timing and intensity prove as consequential as changes in total precipitation.
Delayed rainy seasons, heavy rainfall events followed by drought spells, and unpredictable wet-season onset
create substantial challenges for rain-fed agriculture (FAO, 2016).
The large precipitation totals mask critical internal changes: more extreme rainfall events, increased flood risk,
and accelerated soil erosion emerge as pressing concerns (Government of Liberia, 2020). Significant data gaps
persist in year-by-year national values for climate metrics during 2020-2024 remain sparse, and local county-
level climate change monitoring appears limited, highlighting the need for enhanced meteorological
infrastructure and monitoring systems (UNDP, 2023).
Synthesis Of Climate Change Impacts on Liberian Agriculture
Temperature Effects on Crop Productivity
Temperature increases exceeding optimal thresholds for major crops represent a critical concern for Liberian
agriculture. Research on tropical cereal crops indicates that temperature increases of 5°C could reduce maize
yields by up to 40%, while rice yields could decrease by 40.2% with temperature rises of 1-3°C (Mall et al.,
2017; Liu et al., 2020). For Liberia, where rice serves as the primary staple food, such productivity reductions
pose serious food security threats.
According to the World Bank Climate Knowledge Portal (2024), Liberia's average temperatures have risen by
approximately 0.27°C per decade between 1991 and 2020, with further increases of 2.6°C projected by the
2060s under current emission trajectories. While Liberia-specific crop response studies remain limited,
regional research from similar West African tropical systems demonstrates comparable vulnerability
(Campbell et al., 2016).
Elevated temperatures accelerate crop development phases such as seed-filling in cereals, shortening the grain
growth period and producing smaller, less nutrient-dense seeds (Gray and Brady, 2016). Temperature stress
during critical flowering periods, particularly in upland rice systems, can exacerbate yield losses by up to 50%
(Lone et al., 2017). Cassava, though somewhat more heat-resilient than cereals, experiences reduced root
bulking under prolonged high temperatures, diminishing yield potential (Henry, 2019). These temperature-
related stresses represent significant threats to food security in Liberia, where many farmers rely on traditional,
non-irrigated farming systems with limited adaptive capacity.
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Drought and Water Stress
Drought poses a persistent challenge for Liberia's predominantly rain-fed agricultural system. Climate change
increases rainfall unpredictability, with extended dry periods and irregular rainy season onset and cessation
(FAO, 2016). Water scarcity during critical crop growth stages limits agricultural productivity, particularly for
rice, the nation's staple crop.
Studies conducted in neighboring West African countries with similar agricultural systems document that
prolonged dry spells particularly affect upland rice systems dependent solely on rainfall (Masud et al., 2017).
While systematic documentation of farmer experiences in Liberia remains limited, reports from extension
services and development organizations working in the country indicate similar patterns (USAID, 2020; FAO
Liberia, 2021).
Research demonstrates that drought conditions cause significant reductions in rice grain weight, affecting
starch accumulation through reduced gene expression related to sucrose metabolism (Ruan et al., 2010).
Cassava, generally considered drought-tolerant, also experiences yield reductions when prolonged dry
conditions stunt root development (Espeland and Kettenring, 2018). Drought conditions exacerbate soil
salinity, especially in coastal areas where saltwater intrusion damages crops and reduces soil fertility
(Hopmans et al., 2021).
Rainfall Variability and Flooding
Rainfall variability constitutes another major climate change impact affecting Liberian agriculture. While some
regions experience decreased total rainfall, others observe increases in rainfall intensity, creating
heterogeneous impacts across the country (Climate Knowledge Portal, 2024). This variability reduces rainy
season predictability, leading to crop losses and delayed planting decisions.
Agricultural assessments in Liberia's northern counties including Lofa, Nimba, and Bong document
accelerated soil erosion from increasingly intense rainfall events (Government of Liberia MOA, 2019). Intense
rainfall during critical crop development stages causes physical damage to plants, creates favorable conditions
for pest proliferation, and complicates harvest operations (FAO, 2017).
Liberia experienced significant flooding events in recent years that inundated agricultural fields, damaged
crops ready for harvest, and rendered land unsuitable for planting until floodwaters receded (World Bank, 2020;
UNDP Liberia, 2021). While comprehensive national agricultural damage assessments from these specific
events remain incomplete, local reports and humanitarian assessments document substantial crop losses,
particularly in low-lying areas and river valleys.
Coastal areas, particularly in Montserrado and Grand Cape Mount counties, face increasing vulnerability to
saltwater intrusion resulting from sea-level rise and higher tides (UNFCCC, 2018). Development reports and
agricultural assessments document field abandonment in areas where salinization has rendered land unsuitable
for cultivation, resulting in significant losses of productive agricultural land (AfDB, 2016; World Bank, 2019).
Sea-level rise, combined with coastal erosion and more frequent storms, threatens Liberia's agricultural base,
particularly in areas with limited land availability and lower infrastructure resilience.
Pest and Disease Dynamics
Temperature and humidity changes create favorable conditions for agricultural pest proliferation and range
expansion. The fall armyworm (Spodoptera frugiperda), an invasive pest from the Americas, arrived in West
Africa in 2016 and has since established itself as a persistent threat to maize and other cereal crops across the
region, including Liberia (FAO, 2017; CABI, 2019). Similarly, cassava pests including mealybugs
(Phenacoccus manihoti) and cassava mosaic disease spread through changing climatic conditions that favor
their survival and reproduction (Legg et al., 2014).
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Climate change-induced high rainfall intensity, particularly affecting upland rice systems, leads to both
waterlogging and subsequent drought stress, negatively affecting crop health and increasing vulnerability to
pests and diseases (Pandey and Choudhary, 2019). Coastal areas witness damaging effects of saltwater
intrusion, which weakens plant health and increases susceptibility to pests and diseases (Hopmans et al., 2021).
Adaptation Strategies for Liberian Agriculture
Based on the synthesis of regional evidence and documented successes in comparable contexts, the following
adaptation strategies show promise for Liberian agriculture. While these strategies draw primarily from West
African and tropical contexts, their effectiveness in Liberia requires validation through pilot programs and
participatory research with local farmers.
Diversification of Crop Varieties and Species
Table 2: Crop Diversification Strategies Applicable to Liberia
Category
Crop Varieties/Species
Description
Regional
Evidence
Drought-
Tolerant
Varieties
Rice (NERICA
varieties), Cassava
NERICA rice varieties combine high yield
potential with drought, disease, and pest
tolerance; improved cassava varieties
maintain productivity under water stress
AfRica Rice
Center; IITA
Flood-Tolerant
Varieties
Submergence-tolerant
rice (STRASA program)
Rice varieties survive 1-2 weeks of
complete submergence and recover after
floodwaters recede
IRRI, AfRica
Rice
Early-Maturing
Varieties
Rice, Maize, Vegetables
Shorter life cycles allow harvest before
drought or excessive rain causes damage
Multiple
national
programs
Heat-Tolerant
Varieties
Rice, maize, vegetables
Maintain productivity at higher
temperatures through improved breeding
CGIAR
centers
Crop
Diversification
Cassava, sweet potato,
cowpea, groundnut, rice,
maize
Diverse cropping systems spread risk;
integrate drought-tolerant crops with
traditional staples
Regional
agricultural
research
Sources: AfRica Rice Center (2020); International Institute of Tropical Agriculture (IITA, 2021); International
Rice Research Institute (IRRI, 2019); FAO Crop Diversification Guidelines (2018)
Implementation Considerations for Liberia:
1. Access to improved seed remains limited; strengthening seed systems is critical
2. Farmer acceptance requires demonstration plots and field schools
3. Integration with traditional varieties can ease adoption
4. Partnership with regional research institutions (AfRica Rice, IITA) essential
Improved Water Management
Small-scale, farmer-managed irrigation systems using streams, springs, and shallow wells can provide
supplementary water during dry spells. Technologies appropriate for Liberian conditions include treadle pumps,
solar-powered motorized pumps, and gravity-fed irrigation systems (FAO, 2018).
Water Harvesting: Constructing ponds, small reservoirs, and catchment systems enables rainwater collection
during wet periods for use during dry spells. At the household level, simple rainwater harvesting from roofs
s upports vegetable gardens during dry seasons (UNDP, 2020).
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Soil Moisture Conservation: Practices reducing water evaporation include mulching with crop residues,
minimum tillage preserving soil structure, and organic matter application improving water-holding capacity.
These practices simultaneously conserve water and improve soil fertility (FAO, 2016).
Wetland Rice Intensification: Rehabilitating and expanding inland valley swamp rice cultivation makes
better use of naturally available water and provides opportunities for controlled water management. These
systems prove more resilient than upland rice during drought while supporting dry-season vegetable
production (AfRica Rice, 2019).
Infrastructure Investment: Constructing small to medium-scale dams for irrigation and water supply, while
ensuring proper drainage to prevent waterlogging, requires government prioritization in high agricultural
potential areas (World Bank, 2019).
Adjustment of Planting Calendars
Table 3: Planting Calendar Adjustment Strategies
Strategy
Category
Specific
Actions
Description
Implementation Channel
Improved
Climate
Forecasting
Seasonal
climate
forecasts
Develop and disseminate forecasts 1-6
months ahead to guide planting
decisions
Regional climate centers;
national meteorological
service
Flexible Planting
Strategies
Guidance on
actual rainfall
onset
Provide updates on adjusting planting
times based on observed conditions
rather than traditional calendars
Extension services; farmer
field schools
Multiple
Planting Dates
Staggered
planting
Spread risk by planting at multiple
dates; if one planting fails, others may
succeed
Farmer training programs
Early Warning
Systems
Alerts for
extreme weather
Develop SMS, radio, and community-
based alerts for floods, droughts, and
pest outbreaks
Mobile networks;
community radio
Sources: West African Science Service Centre on Climate Change and Adapted Land Use (WASCAL);
AGRHYMET Regional Centre; FAO Climate-Smart Agriculture Guides
Agroforestry and Integrated Farming Systems
Table 4: Agroforestry Benefits and Systems for Liberia
Benefit Category
Mechanism
Description
Climate
Moderation
Trees provide shade,
windbreaks, root systems
Reduce temperature extremes, reduce moisture loss,
improve water infiltration, reduce erosion
Diversified
Income
Multiple products
Provide fruits, timber, fuelwood, fodder; reduce reliance
on annual crops alone
Soil Improvement
Nitrogen-fixing species
Trees like Leucaena, Gliricidia, Acacia improve fertility
through leaf litter and nitrogen fixation
Carbon
Sequestration
Biomass and soil carbon
Sequester atmospheric carbon, contributing to climate
mitigation
Resilience
System diversity
More resilient to climate shocks than monocultures
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Sources: World Agroforestry Centre (ICRAF, 2020); FAO Agroforestry Guidelines (2019); Trees for Food
Security Project (2021)
Specific Agroforestry Systems for Liberia:
1. Improved fallow systems: Fast-growing, nitrogen-fixing trees during fallow periods enrich soil more
rapidly than natural vegetation
2. Alley cropping: Annual crops grown between rows of periodically pruned trees/shrubs that provide mulch
and nutrients
3. Home gardens: Intensive, multi-story cultivation around homesteads combining trees, vegetables, and
small livestock
4. Cocoa and coffee under shade: Shade trees improve cocoa and coffee performance and resilience
compared to full-sun cultivation
Conservation Agriculture
Table 5: Conservation Agriculture Principles and Practices
Principle
Practice
Benefits
Liberian Context
Reduced
Tillage
Minimize plowing
Preserves soil structure, reduces erosion,
maintains moisture, lowers labor
Particularly beneficial for
farmers using hand tools
Soil Cover
Mulching, cover
crops, crop residues
Protects from erosion, reduces
evaporation, suppresses weeds, adds
organic matter
Requires retention of
residues (not burning)
Crop
Rotation
Alternating crops
Breaks pest cycles, improves fertility
(especially with legumes), spreads risk
Integration of legumes key
Organic
Matter
Increase soil organic
content
Enhances water-holding capacity,
nutrient retention, biological activity
Compost, manure, green
manures
Sources: FAO Conservation Agriculture (2020); African Conservation Tillage Network (ACT, 2021)
Implementation Requirements: Research and demonstration to show farmers the benefits and address
concerns about initial yield reductions during transition to conservation agriculture. Farmer field schools and
long-term support essential.
Integrated Pest Management (IPM)
Table 6: Integrated Pest Management Strategies
IPM Component
Specific Practices
Description
Crop Rotation and
Diversity
Sequential and spatial crop
variation
Disrupts pest life cycles and reduces pest
buildup
Resistant Varieties
Genetically resistant crops
Provides built-in protection, reducing need for
chemical control
Biological Control
Natural enemies, beneficial
organisms
Promotes natural predators through habitat
management
Cultural Practices
Planting date adjustment, field
sanitation
Avoid peak pest periods; remove crop residues
harboring pests
Judicious Pesticide Use
Proper selection, timing, safety
When necessary, train farmers in selection and
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safety
Monitoring and Early
Warning
Pest surveillance systems
Community-based pest scouts; extension
service alerts
Sources: FAO IPM Farmer Field Schools (2019); CABI Plantwise Program (2021)
Climate Information Services
Providing farmers with timely, relevant climate information enables informed decision-making and represents
a critical adaptation strategy (WMO, 2020).
Key Components:
1. Seasonal forecasts: Disseminate rainfall, temperature, and dry spell forecasts 1-6 months ahead through
radio, SMS, farmer groups, and extension services
2. Weather monitoring: Establish community-based weather stations; train local observers to record rainfall,
temperature, and other parameters
3. Advisory services: Translate climate information into practical agricultural advice (when to plant, which
varieties to use, water management strategies)
4. Indigenous knowledge integration: Combine traditional weather prediction methods with scientific
forecasts to create trusted information systems
Soil Fertility Management
Maintaining and improving soil fertility is fundamental to climate resilience (FAO, 2021).
Key Practices:
1. Organic amendments: Promote compost, animal manure, and green manures to improve soil organic
matter, water-holding capacity, and nutrient content
2. Integrated soil fertility management: Combine organic amendments with modest amounts of chemical
fertilizers where accessible
3. Legume integration: Include legumes (cowpea, groundnut, soybean, green manures) in cropping systems
to add nitrogen through biological fixation
4. Erosion control: Implement practices preventing soil loss on sloped lands (contour farming, terracing,
grass strips, vegetation cover)
5. Site-specific management: Recognize that different soils and agroecological zones require different
approaches; tailor guidance to local conditions rather than blanket recommendations
DISCUSSION
The adaptation strategies synthesized in this review derive primarily from experiences in comparable West
African and tropical contexts rather than Liberia-specific empirical research. This limitation reflects the current
state of climate-agriculture research in Liberia, where systematic studies remain scarce compared to countries
like Ghana, Senegal, or Kenya that have more developed agricultural research infrastructure (Binswanger-
Mkhize and Savastano, 2017).
Contextual Factors Affecting Implementation
Several factors influence the applicability and potential effectiveness of these strategies in Liberia:
Post-Conflict Recovery Context: Liberia's agricultural sector continues recovering from prolonged conflict,
with weakened institutions, limited infrastructure, and disrupted knowledge transfer systems (AfDB, 2016).
Adaptation strategies must account for these constraints and build on reconstruction efforts.
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Smallholder Dominance: Most Liberian farmers operate small plots (typically <2 hectares) using hand tools
and limited purchased inputs (Jayne et al., 2010). Adaptation strategies must be appropriate for resource-
constrained smallholders rather than requiring significant capital investment.
Institutional Capacity: Extension services, research institutions, and input supply systems remain
underdeveloped compared to regional peers (Government of Liberia MOA, 2019). Strengthening these systems
must accompany technical adaptation strategies.
Gender Dimensions: Women perform significant agricultural labor in Liberia but face constraints in land
access, credit, and decision-making authority (FAO, 2014). Gender-responsive adaptation approaches are
essential.
Regional Variation: Liberia's diverse agroecological zones, coastal plains, inland valleys, and upland forests
experience different climate impacts and require tailored strategies (CARI, 2015).
Evidence Gaps and Research Needs
This review identifies critical research needs for Liberia:
1. Localized Climate Projections: County-level climate projections and vulnerability assessments to guide
targeted interventions
2. Crop Response Studies: Field trials assessing how major Liberian crops respond to temperature, drought,
and flooding stress under local conditions
3. Adaptation Effectiveness: Participatory research evaluating which adaptation strategies work best for
different farming systems, agroecological zones, and socioeconomic contexts
4. Farmer Knowledge and Practices: Documentation of indigenous adaptation strategies and farmer
innovations
5. Economic Analysis: Cost-benefit analyses of adaptation interventions to guide investment priorities
6. Institutional Analysis: Assessment of extension service capacity, input supply systems, and policy
frameworks affecting adaptation
7. Long-term Monitoring: Establishment of sentinel sites tracking climate trends, crop performance, and
adaptation outcomes over time.
CONCLUSION
This systematic literature review synthesizes evidence on climate change impacts and adaptation strategies
applicable to Liberia's agricultural sector. The synthesis draws on 72 peer-reviewed articles and institutional
reports addressing tropical agriculture under climate change, with particular emphasis on West African
contexts comparable to Liberia.
Climate change poses substantial challenges to Liberian agriculture through multiple pathways: rising
temperatures (projected 2.C increase by 2060s), increasingly unpredictable rainfall despite high annual totals
(>2,300 mm), more frequent droughts and floods, expanded pest and disease pressure, and sea-level rise
threatening coastal agriculture (Climate Knowledge Portal, 2024; UNFCCC, 2018). These impacts overlay an
agricultural sector still recovering from prolonged conflict, characterized by subsistence production, limited
infrastructure, weak institutions, and vulnerable smallholder farmers (AfDB, 2016; Government of Liberia
MOA, 2019).
However, the review identifies multiple adaptation strategies with demonstrated effectiveness in comparable
contexts: crop diversification with improved varieties, enhanced water management, climate-informed planting
calendars, agroforestry systems, conservation agriculture, integrated pest management, climate information
services, and soil fertility management. These strategies, while drawing primarily from regional rather than
Liberia-specific studies, offer evidence-based pathways for enhancing agricultural resilience.
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Several crosscutting principles emerge from this synthesis:
1. Farmer-Centered Approaches: Climate adaptation must build on farmers' existing knowledge and
priorities while providing new tools and information through participatory processes (Davis et al., 2012).
2. Multi-Stakeholder Coordination: Effective adaptation requires coordinated action across government
agencies, farmers and their organizations, private sector actors, NGOs, and development partners, with
clear roles and coordination mechanisms (Campbell et al., 2016).
3. Equity and Inclusion: Special attention must address vulnerable groups, particularly women and youth,
ensuring they benefit from and participate meaningfully in adaptation efforts (FAO, 2014).
4. Adaptive Management: Adaptation constitutes an ongoing process of learning, adjusting, and
innovating as climate continues changing and new challenges emerge, rather than a one-time intervention
(Smith and Gregory, 2013).
Liberia’s agricultural sector is central to its food security and economic development, but climate change poses
a significant threat. With concerted effort from researchers, policymakers, development partners, and extension
services, Liberia can enhance its agricultural resilience. The key to success lies in building climate resilience
from the start of post-conflict reconstruction and prioritizing climate-smart agriculture, capacity building, and
effective communication. By translating evidence-based strategies into action, Liberia can transform climate
change from a challenge into an opportunity for agricultural innovation and sustainable development.
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