reflect attempts to move along this continuum (Ajewumi, Afolabi, & Akunne, 2024). The dominant theories of
integration emphasize two key mechanisms: trade creation and trade diversion. Trade creation occurs when
integration allows cheaper imports from member states to replace higher-cost domestic production, improving
efficiency and welfare. Trade diversion, however, happens when cheaper imports from non-member countries
are replaced by more expensive imports from member states due to preferential tariffs, which can reduce overall
welfare (Viner, 1950). Applied to Africa, empirical studies such as Candau, Schlick, and Guepie (2018) have
shown that while some RTAs like COMESA and ECOWAS have fostered trade creation, others have had limited
or uneven impacts.
From an International Economics perspective, integration is also expected to expand market size, stimulate
industrialization, and enhance competitiveness, especially for small economies (Mevel & Mathieu, 2016).
However, the challenges of weak infrastructure, overlapping memberships, and governance constraints often
undermine these expected gains (Melo, 2013).
Trade Agreements and Development in Emerging Economies
For emerging economies, trade agreements can act as vehicles for structural transformation. By improving
market access, attracting foreign investment, and fostering technology transfer, agreements create pathways
toward industrial upgrading (Asche, 2021). Yet, outcomes depend heavily on the quality of institutions and
complementary policies such as investment in infrastructure and human capital (Kimenyi, 2013). Africa’s
experience with external agreements such as Economic Partnership Agreements (EPAs) with the EU
demonstrates both the opportunities for export growth and the dangers of fragmentation when agreements are
misaligned with continental integration goals (Asche, 2021).
Where AGOA Fits in this Framework
The African Growth and Opportunity Act (AGOA), enacted by the United States in 2000, offers unilateral trade
preferences to eligible African countries. Conceptually, AGOA does not fit neatly within Balassa’s stages of
integration because it is a non-reciprocal preferential trade agreement rather than a step toward deeper
institutional integration. However, in practice, it interacts with Africa’s integration agenda by shaping production
patterns, export orientation, and industrial strategies.
Studies show that AGOA has boosted African exports especially in textiles, apparel and certain agricultural
products but its benefits have been uneven, with a concentration in a few countries like South Africa, Kenya, and
Lesotho (Kasunsumo, 2023). Moreover, scholars argue that while AGOA provides opportunities, its temporary
and conditional nature limits its developmental impact compared to Africa-driven frameworks like AfCFTA
(Talton, 2021). Thus, AGOA illustrates both the opportunities and contradictions of external agreements within
Africa’s broader trajectory toward regional economic integration.
Key Provisions of the AGOA
AGOA grants duty-free access to the U.S. market for over 6,500 products from eligible African countries.
Covered goods include textiles, apparel, footwear, agricultural commodities and manufactured products,
although petroleum exports have historically dominated trade flows. Eligibility is conditional: countries must
demonstrate progress toward establishing a market economy, upholding the rule of law, eliminating barriers to
U.S. trade and investment, and protecting internationally recognized worker rights (Kasunsumo, 2023). The U.S.
President conducts annual reviews to determine whether countries continue to meet these requirements, giving
Washington significant discretion over African participation.
Since its original passage, AGOA has been renewed and amended multiple times, creating four major phases:
1. AGOA I (2000–2004): The original enactment provided duty-free benefits and eligibility conditions for
sub-Saharan African countries.
2. AGOA II (2004): Extended benefits through 2015 and broadened product coverage, particularly for
textiles and apparel.