wages are already at or above peer median, concessions tend to be marginal, reflecting management’s ability to
frame demands as excessive.
Sectoral heterogeneity further qualifies these empirical patterns. In manufacturing, lawful, peaceful, and tightly
scoped strikes (targeting a line or dispatch gate) remain potent, while violent or prolonged actions backfire. In
electronics, brief lawful stoppages at export-oriented nodes often secure outsized concessions due to brand
sensitivity and tight service-level agreements. In FMCG, where brand reputation and consumer supply chains
are critical, even short stoppages often trigger rapid settlement. By contrast, in IT and IT-enabled services, the
traditional strike is a blunt instrument: dispersed workforces, client contracts, and high substitutability reduce its
efficacy. Here, hybrid campaigns combining labour authority complaints, media visibility, and investor pressure
are more effective than sustained walkouts.
Taken together, these findings allow the construction of a practical efficacy index, where positive levers include
lawfulness, supply-chain criticality, robust evidence packs (wage comparators, occupational safety audits),
media visibility, and moderate union density. Negative levers include violence, employer lockouts, prolonged
duration, and wages already at or above market median. Simulated logit models indicate that scores above 35–
40 on this composite index correspond with more than a 50 percent probability of securing material concessions,
while scores above 55 align with both larger than average gains and faster settlements.
Thus, the empirical record demonstrates that strikes are neither uniformly effective nor obsolete. Their success
hinges on lawful conduct, strategic targeting, disciplined communication, and careful calibration of demands. In
modern Indian industries, particularly in a globalized and legally regulated context, strikes work best as precise,
lawful, and reputationally salient interventions rather than as blunt, prolonged shutdowns.
The relevance of strikes in the modern era cannot be understood in absolute terms but must be contextualized
across industries and legal frameworks. In traditional manufacturing and labour-intensive sectors such as steel,
automobiles, and textiles, strikes continue to serve as a powerful bargaining tool, particularly where trade unions
maintain strong organizational structures. Evidence suggests that strikes in these industries often yield material
concessions, albeit at the cost of productivity losses and strained industrial relations. Conversely, in industries
such as IT, FMCG, and electronics—where workforces are more fragmented, contractual employment is
prevalent, and union presence is relatively weak—strikes are less frequent and often less effective as tools of
negotiation. Instead, alternative dispute resolution mechanisms, such as conciliation, arbitration, or internal
grievance redressal, have gained prominence.
Empirical analysis based on concession magnitude, probability of material concessions, and time to settlement
reveals that while strikes may still lead to significant concessions in manufacturing, their effectiveness is
diminishing in knowledge-based and high-tech industries. The globalized nature of supply chains and the
availability of outsourcing further weaken the bargaining power of strikes in these sectors. Additionally, the legal
framework under the Industrial Disputes Act, 1947, along with evolving jurisprudence, continues to regulate and
restrict the frequency and duration of strikes, balancing worker rights with industrial peace.
Thus, strikes remain relevant but not uniformly effective. They are evolving from being the dominant form of
collective bargaining to one among many tools in the arsenal of labour relations. In industries where strikes are
still impactful, managements are incentivized to adopt more proactive engagement strategies, whereas in
emerging sectors, collaborative HR practices, open communication channels, and innovative forms of collective
voice may replace the traditional strike as the primary mode of conflict resolution. Ultimately, the future of
strikes in India lies not in their disappearance but in their transformation, aligning with the economic,
technological, and legal realities of the modern era.
1. Sanyal, B. (2019). Strikes and Lockouts in Indian Industries: A Historical and Contemporary Perspective.
Indian Journal of Labour Economics, 62(3), 427–450.