Groundwater Quality Prediction Using Water Quality Index and Multiple Regression Modelling in Trans Amadi Industrial Area, Port Harcourt, Nigeria

Authors

Braide, A. I

Department of Civil Engineering, Federal University of Technology Owerri, Imo state (Nigeria)

Nwoke H.U

Department of Civil Engineering, Federal University of Technology Owerri, Imo state (Nigeria)

Dike B.U.

Department of Civil Engineering, Federal University of Technology Owerri, Imo state (Nigeria)

Ukachukwu O.C.

Department of Civil Engineering, Federal University of Technology Owerri, Imo state (Nigeria)

Article Information

DOI: 10.51584/IJRIAS.2026.11050165

Subject Category: Engineering & Technology

Volume/Issue: 11/5 | Page No: 1987-2000

Publication Timeline

Submitted: 2026-05-28

Accepted: 2026-06-02

Published: 2026-06-10

Abstract

Groundwater quality assessment is essential for ensuring safe drinking water and mitigating contamination associated with industrialization and urbanization. This study developed a predictive model for groundwater quality assessment using the Water Quality Index (WQI) and Multiple Regression Modelling (MRM) within Trans Amadi Industrial Layout, Port Harcourt, Nigeria. Groundwater samples were collected from fifteen (15) boreholes and analyzed for selected physicochemical parameters following standard procedures. Results indicated considerable spatial variation in groundwater quality, with elevated concentrations of heavy metals such as lead (Pb) and cadmium (Cd) observed at several locations. WQI values revealed that most sampling points were unsuitable for drinking, indicating widespread groundwater deterioration. The developed regression model demonstrated excellent predictive performance (R² = 0.9998; Adjusted R² = 0.9989), with Pb, Cd, dissolved oxygen (DO), sulphate (SO₄), and zinc (Zn) identified as major predictors influencing WQI. The close agreement between observed and predicted WQI values confirms the model’s reliability for groundwater quality prediction. The findings demonstrate that integrating WQI and MRM provides an effective and cost-efficient approach for groundwater monitoring, contamination assessment, and sustainable water resource management in industrial environments.

Keywords

Groundwater quality; Water Quality Index (WQI); Multiple Regression Modelling (MRM)

Downloads

References

1. Akakuru, O. C., Akaolisa, C. C. Z., Aigbadon, G. O., Eyankware, M. O., Opara, A. I., Obasi, P. N., … Akudinobi, B. E. B. (2023). Integrating machine learning and multi-linear regression modeling approaches in groundwater quality assessment around Obosi, SE Nigeria. Environment, Development and Sustainability, 25(12), 14567–14606. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10668-022-02679-8 [Google Scholar] [Crossref]

2. American Public Health Association (APHA). (2017). Standard methods for the examination of water and wastewater (23rd ed.). Washington, DC: American Public Health Association. [Google Scholar] [Crossref]

3. Chen, H., & Han, H. (2018). Prediction of water quality using machine learning approaches: A review. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 25(15), 14529–14541. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-018-1853-1 [Google Scholar] [Crossref]

4. Das, A., et al. (2026). Drinking water quality evaluation and machine learning predictive modelling using WQI and multiple linear regression approaches. Discover Water. [Google Scholar] [Crossref]

5. Egbueri, J. C., & Unigwe, C. O. (2020). Understanding the extent of heavy metal pollution in drinking water supplies from urban groundwater sources in southeastern Nigeria. Environmental Monitoring and Assessment, 192(9), 1–20. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10661-020-08500-4 [Google Scholar] [Crossref]

6. Ekwere, A. S., et al. (2025). Assessment of land-use impacts on groundwater quality in Port Harcourt, Niger Delta region, Nigeria. Groundwater for Sustainable Development. https://doi.org/[complete DOI to be confirmed] (ScienceDirect) [Google Scholar] [Crossref]

7. Farzana, F., et al. (2025). Assessment of groundwater quality and potential health risks in peri-urban groundwater systems. Scientific Reports. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-13651-7 [Google Scholar] [Crossref]

8. Jafar, R., Al Ali, A., & colleagues. (2023). Multiple linear regression and machine learning for predicting the drinking water quality index in Al-Seine Lake. Smart Cities, 6(5), 2807–2827. https://doi.org/10.3390/smartcities6050126 [Google Scholar] [Crossref]

9. Jafar, R., et al. (2023). Multiple linear regression and machine learning for predicting the drinking water quality index. Water Resources Management. [Google Scholar] [Crossref]

10. Jibrin, A. M., Al-Suwaiyan, M., Aldrees, A., et al. (2024). Machine learning predictive insight of water pollution and groundwater quality in the Eastern Province of Saudi Arabia. Scientific Reports, 14, 20031. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-70610-4 [Google Scholar] [Crossref]

11. Khafaga, D. S., et al. (2025). Groundwater quality and associated health risks in industrial regions: A case study of Punjab, Pakistan. Frontiers in Environmental Science. https://doi.org/10.3389/fenvs.2025.1636843 [Google Scholar] [Crossref]

12. Lapworth, D. J., Nkhuwa, D. C. W., Okotto-Okotto, J., Pedley, S., Stuart, M. E., Tijani, M. N., & Wright, J. (2017). Urban groundwater quality in sub-Saharan Africa: Current status and implications for water security and public health. Hydrogeology Journal, 25(4), 1093–1116. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10040-016-1516-6 [Google Scholar] [Crossref]

13. Latif, M., et al. (2025). Human health risk assessment of drinking water using heavy metal contamination indices. Applied Water Science. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13201-024-02341-w [Google Scholar] [Crossref]

14. Nwankwoala, H. O., Osayande, A. D., & Uboh, I. U. (2022). Heavy metal concentrations levels in groundwater and wastewater sources in parts of Trans-Amadi, Port Harcourt, Nigeria. World Journal of Advanced Engineering Technology and Sciences, 5(2), 97–102. https://doi.org/10.30574/wjaets.2022.5.2.0049 (Adv Eng Tech Journal) [Google Scholar] [Crossref]

15. Palabıyık, S., et al. (2024). Evaluation of water quality based on artificial intelligence and multiple linear regression modelling approaches. Environment, Development and Sustainability. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10668-024-05075-6 [Google Scholar] [Crossref]

16. Saeedi, R., et al. (2024). Assessing drinking water quality based on heavy metals, health risks and burden of disease. Heliyon. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.exxxx (verify DOI before submission) [Google Scholar] [Crossref]

17. Teschke, R., & Xuan, T. D. (2025). Heavy metals polluting drinking water: Individual health hazards. International Journal of Molecular Sciences, 26(23), 11656. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijms262311656 [Google Scholar] [Crossref]

18. Tirkey, P., Bhattacharya, T., Chakraborty, S., & Baraik, S. (2017). Assessment of groundwater quality and associated health risks: A case study. Groundwater for Sustainable Development, 5, 85–94. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gsd.2017.05.002 [Google Scholar] [Crossref]

19. Tyagi, S., Sharma, B., Singh, P., & Dobhal, R. (2013). Water quality assessment in terms of Water Quality Index. American Journal of Water Resources, 1(3), 34–38. https://doi.org/10.12691/ajwr-1-3-3 [Google Scholar] [Crossref]

20. Uddin, M. G., Nash, S., & Olbert, A. I. (2021). A review of Water Quality Index models and their use for assessing surface water quality. Ecological Indicators, 122, 107218. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2020.107218 [Google Scholar] [Crossref]

21. UNESCO. (2022). The United Nations world water development report 2022: Groundwater—Making the invisible visible. Paris, France: UNESCO. Retrieved from https://unesdoc.unesco.org/ [Google Scholar] [Crossref]

22. Wang, Y., Li, Z., Tang, Z., & Zeng, G. (2020). Application of statistical and machine learning methods for groundwater quality prediction: A review. Science of the Total Environment, 740, 140–161. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.140127 [Google Scholar] [Crossref]

23. World Health Organization (WHO). (2022). Guidelines for drinking-water quality (4th ed., incorporating 1st and 2nd addenda). Geneva, Switzerland: WHO. Retrieved from https://www.who.int/ [Google Scholar] [Crossref]

Metrics

Views & Downloads

Similar Articles