The Effects of Diaspora Remittances and Investment on Sustainable Development in Nigeria

Authors

Asagunla, Temitope Michael (Ph.D)

Federal University Oye Ekiti, Ekiti State (Nigeria)

Awoyemi, James Olushola

Kogi State University Kabba (Nigeria)

Idowu, Adewole Gbenga

Faculty of Management Studies, Igbajo Polytechnic (Nigeria)

Aladejana, Saheed Aliu (Ph.D.)

Olusegun Agagu University of Science and Technology (OAUSTECH) (Nigeria)

Article Information

DOI: 10.51584/IJRIAS.2026.11080122

Subject Category: Development Economics

Volume/Issue: 11/8 | Page No: 1611-1633

Publication Timeline

Submitted: 2026-08-30

Accepted: 2026-09-04

Published: 2026-09-16

Abstract

Despite the growing importance of diaspora remittances and investment in financing development, Nigeria still faces challenges in translating these inflows into sustainable development. This raises concerns about whether remittances and investment contribute to sustainable development beyond their short-run effects. This study examined the effects of diaspora remittances and investment on sustainable development in Nigeria over the period 1990–2025. Adjusted Net Savings (ANS) was used as a proxy for sustainable development, while gross capital formation (GCF) represented investment. Annual data obtained from the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), and the World Bank’s World Development Indicators (WDI) were analysed using the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) approach. The bounds test yielded an F-statistic of 5.71, exceeding the 5 per cent upper-bound critical value of 4.85 and confirming a significant long-run relationship among the variables. The short-run results showed that remittances had a positive and statistically significant lagged effect on ANS, with a coefficient of 2.247 (p = 0.019), although their contemporaneous effect was negative and statistically insignificant. Gross capital formation had a negative and statistically insignificant short-run effect. The error-correction coefficient was negative and statistically significant at the 1 per cent level (−0.535; p = 0.001), indicating that approximately 53.5 per cent of short-run disequilibrium was corrected within one period. In the long run, remittances (−2.413; p = 0.223) and GCF (−0.127; p = 0.756) had negative but statistically insignificant effects on ANS. The study concluded that remittances had short-run developmental potential, but neither remittances nor investment significantly improved sustainable development in the long run. It recommended strengthening financial inclusion, promoting productive remittance investment, improving investment efficiency, enhancing institutional capacity, and adopting an integrated remittance–investment policy framework to promote sustainable wealth creation and environmentally sustainable capital formation in Nigeria.

Keywords

Adjusted Net Savings; Diaspora Remittances; Gross Capital Formation

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