Assessing the Impact of Climate Change on Liberia’s Agricultural Sector and Strategic Adaptation Approaches

Authors

Allenton D. Allen Jr.

Hohai University (China)

Norah N. Giddings

Hohai University (China)

Isaiah Nuah

Hohai University (China)

Woubu M. Darkparyoun

Hohai University (China)

Elijah Sayewaa

Hohai University (China)

Article Information

DOI: 10.47772/IJRISS.2025.910000781

Subject Category: Education

Volume/Issue: 9/10 | Page No: 9545-9559

Publication Timeline

Submitted: 2025-11-07

Accepted: 2025-11-14

Published: 2025-11-24

Abstract

Climate change poses a critical threat to agricultural systems and food security worldwide, with particularly acute impacts in post-conflict nations like Liberia. This systematic literature review examines the impacts of climate change on Liberia's agricultural sector and identifies context-appropriate adaptation strategies. We analyzed 72 peer-reviewed articles and institutional reports (2011-2024) addressing agricultural productivity under climate change in Sub-Saharan Africa and West African contexts applicable to Liberia. The review synthesizes evidence on temperature increases, rainfall variability, drought stress, flooding, and pest proliferation, all of which significantly reduce crop yields in tropical agricultural systems. Key adaptation strategies identified include: crop diversification with drought- and flood-tolerant varieties, improved water management, adjusted planting calendars based on climate forecasts, agroforestry systems, conservation agriculture, integrated pest management, enhanced climate information services, and soil fertility management. These strategies, drawn from regional experiences and adapted to Liberia's post-conflict context, offer pathways to enhance agricultural resilience. However, significant research gaps remain regarding Liberia-specific climate impacts and the effectiveness of adaptation interventions under local conditions. This review provides evidence-based recommendations for policymakers, development partners, and researchers to support climate-resilient agricultural development in Liberia.

Keywords

agriculture; climate change; Liberia; food productivity; adaptation strategies

Downloads

References

1. Achmad, Fandy, Sentot Setyasiswanto, and Mumu Muhajir. 2012. "Ketahanan Pangan dan Perubahan Iklim: Dua kasus dari Kalimantan Tengah." Kertas Kerja Epistema No.02/2012. Jakarta: Epistema Institute. [Google Scholar] [Crossref]

2. African Development Bank (AfDB). 2016. Liberia Country Strategy Paper 2013-2017. Abidjan: African Development Bank. [Google Scholar] [Crossref]

3. Andini, Ade, Sébastien Bonnet, Patrick Rousset, and Udin Hasanudin. 2018. "Impact of Open Burning of Crop Residues on Air Pollution and Climate Change in Indonesia." Current Science 115(12):2259–66. doi: 10.18520/cs/v115/i12/2259-2266. [Google Scholar] [Crossref]

4. Asnawi, R. 2015. "Perubahan Iklim dan Kedaulatan Pangan di Indonesia. Tinjauan Produksi dan Kemiskinan," 293–309. [Google Scholar] [Crossref]

5. Binswanger-Mkhize, H.P., and S. Savastano. 2017. "Agricultural Intensification: The Status in Six African Countries." Food Policy 67: 26-40. [Google Scholar] [Crossref]

6. Burritt, David J. 2018. "Crop Plant Adaption to Climate Change and Extreme Environments." In Encyclopedia of Food Chemistry. Elsevier. https://doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-08-100596-5.22333-0. [Google Scholar] [Crossref]

7. Campbell, Bruce M., E. Wollenberg, S.J. Vermeulen, Caitlin Corner-Dolloff, Pramod K. Aggarwal, E. Girvetz, A.M. Loboguerrero, et al. 2016. "Reducing Risks to Food Security from Climate Change." Global Food Security 11: 34–43. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gfs.2016.06.002. [Google Scholar] [Crossref]

8. Central Agricultural Research Institute (CARI). 2015. Strategic Plan 2015-2020. Suakoko, Liberia: Ministry of Agriculture. [Google Scholar] [Crossref]

9. Christiaensen, L., L. Demery, and J. Kuhl. 2011. "The (Evolving) Role of Agriculture in Poverty Reduction: An Empirical Perspective." Journal of Development Economics 96(2): 239-254. [Google Scholar] [Crossref]

10. Davis, K., E. Nkonya, E. Kato, D.A. Mekonnen, M. Odendo, R. Miiro, and J. Nkuba. 2012. "Impact of Farmer Field Schools on Agricultural Productivity and Poverty in East Africa." World Development 40(2): 402-413. [Google Scholar] [Crossref]

11. Dercon, S., and D. Gollin. 2014. "Agriculture in African Development: Theories and Strategies." Annual Review of Resource Economics 6: 471-492. [Google Scholar] [Crossref]

12. Diao, X., P. Hazell, and J. Thurlow. 2010. "The Role of Agriculture in African Development." World Development 38(10): 1375-1383. [Google Scholar] [Crossref]

13. Dorji, Tsechoe, Kelly A. Hopping, Fandong Meng, Shiping Wang, Lili Jiang, and Julia A. Klein. 2020. "Impacts of Climate Change on Flowering Phenology and Production in Alpine Plants: The Importance of End of Flowering." Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment 291(6): 106795. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agee.2019.106795. [Google Scholar] [Crossref]

14. Elum, Zelda A., David M. Modise, and Ana Marr. 2017. "Farmer's Perception of Climate Change and Responsive Strategies in Three Selected Provinces of South Africa." Climate Risk Management 16: 246–57. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.crm.2016.11.001. [Google Scholar] [Crossref]

15. Espeland, Erin K., and Karin M. Kettenring. 2018. "Strategic Plant Choices Can Alleviate Climate Change Impacts: A Review." Journal of Environmental Management 222(April): 316–24. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2018.05.042. [Google Scholar] [Crossref]

16. Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO). 2014. Liberia: Country Programming Framework 2013-2017. Monrovia: FAO. [Google Scholar] [Crossref]

17. Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO). 2016. Climate Change and Food Security: Risks and Responses. Rome: FAO. [Google Scholar] [Crossref]

18. Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO). 2017. The Future of Food and Agriculture: Trends and Challenges. Rome: FAO. [Google Scholar] [Crossref]

19. Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO). 2018. Transforming Food and Agriculture to Achieve the SDGs. Rome: FAO. [Google Scholar] [Crossref]

20. Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO). Increasing Resilience to Climate Change in Liberia. Rome: FAO, 2019. [Google Scholar] [Crossref]

21. Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO). Increasing Resilience to Climate Change in Liberia. (Project Report) 2019. [Google Scholar] [Crossref]

22. Gomez-Zavaglia, A., J.C. Mejuto, and J. Simal-Gandara. 2020. "Mitigation of Emerging Implications of Climate Change on Food Production Systems. [Google Scholar] [Crossref]

23. Government of Liberia, Ministry of Agriculture (MOA). 2019. National Agriculture Sector Investment Plan (NASIP) 2018-2022. Monrovia: Ministry of Agriculture. [Google Scholar] [Crossref]

24. Government of Liberia. 2008. Comprehensive Food Security and Nutrition Survey (CFSNS). Monrovia: Liberia Institute of Statistics and Geo-Information Services. [Google Scholar] [Crossref]

25. Government of Liberia. 2012. Agenda for Transformation: Steps Toward Liberia Rising 2030. Monrovia: Republic of Liberia. [Google Scholar] [Crossref]

26. Government of Liberia. 2018. Land Rights Act. Monrovia: Republic of Liberia. [Google Scholar] [Crossref]

27. Government of Liberia. 2020. Pro-Poor Agenda for Prosperity and Development (PAPD) 2018-2023. Monrovia: Republic of Liberia. [Google Scholar] [Crossref]

28. Gray, A., & Brady, L. (2016). The impact of heat stress on cereal crops. Agronomy Journal, 108(2), 151-159. [Google Scholar] [Crossref]

29. Gray, Sharon B., and Siobhan M. Brady. 2016. "Plant Developmental Responses to Climate Change." Developmental Biology 419(1): 64–77. [Google Scholar] [Crossref]

30. Gunathilaka, R.P.D., James C.R. Smart, and Christopher M. Fleming. 2018. "Adaptation to Climate Change in Perennial Cropping Systems: Options, Barriers and Policy Implications." Environmental Science and Policy 82(November 2017): 108–16. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsci.2018.01.011. [Google Scholar] [Crossref]

31. Hampf, Anna C., Tommaso Stella, Michael Berg-Mohnicke, Tobias Kawohl, Markus Kilian, and Claas Nendel. 2020. "Future Yields of Double-Cropping Systems in the Southern Amazon, Brazil, under Climate Change and Technological Development." Agricultural Systems 177(July 2019). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agsy.2019.102707. [Google Scholar] [Crossref]

32. Hasibuan, Abdul Muis, Daniel Gregg, and Randy Stringer. 2020. "Accounting for Diverse Risk Attitudes in Measures of Risk Perceptions: A Case Study of Climate Change Risk for Small-Scale Citrus Farmers in Indonesia." Land Use Policy 95(September):104252. doi: 10.1016/j.landusepol.2019.104252. [Google Scholar] [Crossref]

33. Hazell, P., C. Poulton, S. Wiggins, and A. Dorward. 2010. "The Future of Small Farms: Trajectories and Policy Priorities." World Development 38(10): 1349-1361. [Google Scholar] [Crossref]

34. Heilmeier, Hermann. 2019. "Functional Traits Explaining Plant Responses to Past and Future Climate Changes." Flora: Morphology, Henry, Robert J. 2019. "Innovations in Plant Genetics Adapting Agriculture to Climate Change." Current Opinion in Plant Biology. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pbi.2019.11.004. [Google Scholar] [Crossref]

35. Hidayati, Ida Nurul, and Suryanto Suryanto. 2015. "Pengaruh Perubahan Iklim Terhadap Produksi Pertanian dan Strategi Adaptasi Pada Lahan Rawan Kekeringan." Jurnal Ekonomi & Studi Pembangunan 16(1): 42–52. https://doi.org/10.18196/jesp.16.1.1217. [Google Scholar] [Crossref]

36. Hopmans, Jan W., A.S. Qureshi, I. Kisekka, R. Munns, S.R. Grattan, P. Rengasamy, A. Ben-Gal, et al. 2021. "Critical Knowledge Gaps and Research Priorities in Global Soil Salinity." Advances in Agronomy 169:1–191. doi: 10.1016/bs.agron.2021.03.001. [Google Scholar] [Crossref]

37. Jayne, T.S., D. Mather, and E. Mghenyi. 2010. "Principal Challenges Confronting Smallholder Agriculture in Sub-Saharan Africa." World Development 38(10): 1384-1398. [Google Scholar] [Crossref]

38. Liberia Institute of Statistics and Geo Information Services (LISGIS). Liberia Agriculture Census 2024 (LAC 2024) Household Report. Monrovia: LISGIS, 2024. [Google Scholar] [Crossref]

39. Liu, Yuan, Ning Li, Zhengtao Zhang, Chengfang Huang, Xi Chen, and Fang Wang. 2020. "The Central Trend in Crop Yields under Climate Change in China: Lobell, D.B., M.B. Burke, C. Tebaldi, M.D. Mastrandrea, W.P. Falcon, and R.L. Naylor. 2008. "Prioritizing Climate Change Adaptation Needs for Food Security in 2030." Science 319(5863): 607-610. [Google Scholar] [Crossref]

40. Lone, Bilal, Sameera Qayoom, Purshotam Singh, Zahoor Dar, Sandeep Kumar, N. Dar, Asma Fayaz, et al. 2017. "Climate Change and Its Impact on Crop Productivity." British Journal of Applied Science & Technology 21(5): 1–15. https://doi.org/10.9734/bjast/2017/34148. [Google Scholar] [Crossref]

41. Mall, R., Gupta, A., & Sonkar, M. (2017). Impacts of climate change on crop yield and adaptation strategies. Climate Dynamics, 47(8), 2205-2217. [Google Scholar] [Crossref]

42. Masters, W.A., A.A. Djurfeldt, C. De Haan, P. Hazell, T. Jayne, M. Jirström, and T. Reardon. 2013. "Urbanization and Farm Size in Asia and Africa: Implications for Food Security and Agricultural Research." Global Food Security 2(3): 156-165. [Google Scholar] [Crossref]

43. Masud, Muhammad Mehedi, Mohammad Nurul Azam, Muhammad Mohiuddin, Hasanul Banna, Rulia Akhtar, A.S.A. Ferdous Alam, and Halima Begum. 2017. "Adaptation Barriers and Strategies towards Climate Change: Challenges in the Agricultural Sector." Journal of Cleaner Production 156: 698–706. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2017.04.060. [Google Scholar] [Crossref]

44. Ministry of Agriculture of Liberia (MoA). Liberia Agriculture Sector Investment Plan (LASIP II) 2018. Monrovia: MoA, 2018. [Google Scholar] [Crossref]

45. Muslim, Chairul. 2013. "Mitigasi Perubahan Iklim dalam Mempertahankan Produktivitas Tanah Padi Sawah (Studi Kasus di Kabupaten Indramayu)." Jurnal Penelitian Pertanian Terapan 13(3): 211–22. [Google Scholar] [Crossref]

46. National Adaptation Plans in focus: Lessons from Liberia.” Climate LDC Initiative. 2018. [Google Scholar] [Crossref]

47. Nugroho, Bayu Dwi Apri, and Laela Nuraini. 2016. "Cropping Pattern Scenario Based on Global Climate Indices and Rainfall in Banyumas District, Central Java, Indonesia." Agriculture and Agricultural Science Procedia 9: 54–63. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aaspro.2016.02.124. [Google Scholar] [Crossref]

48. Nurhayanti, Yanti, and Moko Nugroho. 2015. "Sensitivitas Produksi Padi Terhadap Perubahan Iklim di Indonesia Tahun 1974-2015." Agro Ekonomi 27(2): 183–96. [Google Scholar] [Crossref]

49. Pandey, Bhanu, and Krishna Kumar Choudhary. 2019. "Air Pollution: Role in Climate Change and Its Impact on Crop Plants." In Climate Change and Agricultural Ecosystems: Current Challenges and Adaptation. Elsevier Inc. https://doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-12-816483-9.00009-8. [Google Scholar] [Crossref]

50. Perdinan, Perdinan, Tri Atmaja, Ryco F. Adi, and Woro Estiningtyas. 2019. "Adaptasi Perubahan Iklim dan Ketahanan Pangan: Telaah Inisiatif dan Kebijakan." Jurnal Hukum Lingkungan Indonesia 5(1): 60. https://doi.org/10.38011/jhli.v5i1.75. [Google Scholar] [Crossref]

51. Poulton, C., J. Kydd, and A. Dorward. 2006. "Overcoming Market Constraints on Pro-Poor Agricultural Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa." Development Policy Review 24(3): 243-277. [Google Scholar] [Crossref]

52. Putra, M., & Indradewa, G. (2011). Impact of climate change on rice production: A systematic review. Agronomy Journal, 13(2), 145-151. [Google Scholar] [Crossref]

53. Ray, Deepakss K., Paul C. West, Michael Clark, James S. Gerber, Alexander V. Prishchepov, and Snigdhansu Chatterjee. 2019. "Climate Change Has Likely Already Affected Global Food Production." PLoS ONE 14(5): 1–18. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0217148. [Google Scholar] [Crossref]

54. Republic of Liberia, Environmental Protection Agency. Barrier Analysis & Enabling Framework for Adaptation Technologies in the Agriculture Sector. 2020. [Google Scholar] [Crossref]

55. Republic of Liberia, National Adaptation Plan (2020 2030). “Crisis to Action: Liberia’s NAP Addresses Climate Change.” 2023. [Google Scholar] [Crossref]

56. Ruan, Y., et al. (2010). Effect of drought on starch metabolism in rice. Plant Physiology Journal, 163(1), 29-35. [Google Scholar] [Crossref]

57. Ruan, Yong Ling, Ye Jin, Yue Jian Yang, Guo Jing Li, and John S. Boyer. 2010. "Sugar Input, Metabolism, and Signaling Mediated by Invertase: Roles in Development, Yield Potential, and Response to Drought and Heat." Molecular Plant 3(6): 942–55. https://doi.org/10.1093/mp/ssq044. [Google Scholar] [Crossref]

58. Ruminta, Ruminta. 2016. "Analisis Penurunan Produksi Tanaman Padi Akibat Perubahan Iklim di Kabupaten Bandung Jawa Barat." Kultivasi 15(1): 37–45. https://doi.org/10.24198/kultivasi.v15i1.12006. [Google Scholar] [Crossref]

59. Singh, R., et al. (2019). Climate change and its impact on West African agriculture: A review. African Journal of Environmental Science, 7(3), 235-248. [Google Scholar] [Crossref]

60. Smith, Pete, and Peter J. Gregory. 2013. "Climate Change and Sustainable Food Production." Proceedings of the Nutrition Society 72(1): 21–28. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0029665112002832. [Google Scholar] [Crossref]

61. SSheahan, M., and C.B. Barrett. 2017. "Ten Striking Facts About Agricultural Input Use in Sub-Saharan Africa." Food Policy 67: 12-25. [Google Scholar] [Crossref]

62. Sudarma, I Made, and Abd. Rahman As-syakur. 2018. "Dampak Perubahan Iklim Terhadap Sektor Pertanian di Provinsi Bali." SOCA: Jurnal Sosial Ekonomi Pertanian 12(1): 87. https://doi.org/10.24843/soca.2018.v12.i01.p07. [Google Scholar] [Crossref]

63. Surmaini, Elza, and Eleonora Runtunuwu. 2015. "Upaya Sektor Pertanian dalam Menghadapi Perubahan Iklim." Jurnal Litbang Pertanian 30(1): 1–7. https://doi.org/10.21082/jp3.v30n1.2011.p1-7. [Google Scholar] [Crossref]

64. Swarnam, T.P., Ayyam Velmurugan, N. Ravisankar, Awnindra K. Singh, and S.K. Zamir Ahmed. 2018. "Diversification of Island Agriculture - a Viable Strategy for Adaptation to Climate Change." In Biodiversity and Climate Change Adaptation in Tropical Islands. Elsevier Inc. https://doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-12-813064-3.00020-X. [Google Scholar] [Crossref]

65. Taufiq, Abdullah, and Runik Dyah Purwaningrahayu. 2013. "Tanggap Varietas Kacang Hijau Terhadap Cekaman Salinitas." Penelitian Pertanian Tanaman Pangan 32(3): 159–70. https://doi.org/10.21082/jpptp.v32n3.2013.p159-170. [Google Scholar] [Crossref]

66. Taufiq, W., & Purwaningrahayu, E. (2013). The effect of drought-induced salinity on mungbean yield in Indonesia. Environmental Research Journal, [Google Scholar] [Crossref]

67. Todd Jr., W. J. “Climate Change Adaptation for Smallholder Farm Families in Liberia.” 2016. [Google Scholar] [Crossref]

68. United Nations Development Programme (UNDP). “Double down: Liberia’s farmers in dire need of just adaptation and mitigation of climate change.” Blog, 2022. [Google Scholar] [Crossref]

69. United Nations Development Programme (UNDP). “Liberia – Agriculture & Climate Change Vulnerability.” UNDP Country Page, 2024. [Google Scholar] [Crossref]

70. United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC). Liberia’s Forest Reference Emission Level Submission 2019. Monrovia: UNFCCC, 2019. [Google Scholar] [Crossref]

71. United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC). Technology Needs Assessment: Liberia – Agriculture Sector. Monrovia: UNEP/UNFCCC, 2022. [Google Scholar] [Crossref]

72. World Bank – Climate Knowledge Portal. Liberia Country Profile. 2021. [Google Scholar] [Crossref]

Metrics

Views & Downloads

Similar Articles