Cross-Border Water Politics: The Sino-Indian Hydropower Competition in the Brahmaputra Basin and Its Implications for Regional Security
Authors
Department of Political Science, Don Bosco College (Autonomous), Maram-Manipur, Senapati, Manipur (India)
Article Information
DOI: 10.47772/IJRISS.2025.91200282
Subject Category: Political Science
Volume/Issue: 9/12 | Page No: 3642-3652
Publication Timeline
Submitted: 2025-12-25
Accepted: 2025-12-30
Published: 2026-01-15
Abstract
This paper examines the escalating hydropower competition between China and India in the Yarlung Tsangpo river basin, analysing how infrastructure development on transboundary waters has evolved into a critical flashpoint for regional security. Through systematic analysis of China’s Medog Dam project and India’s counter-dam strategy, this study reveals how the absence of robust cooperative frameworks transforms water resource development into a strategic security dilemma. The research demonstrates that this competitive dynamic disproportionately impacts downstream populations and indigenous communities while undermining long-term ecological stability. Drawing on this development and empirical evidence from the transboundary river disputes, the paper argues that the current trajectory of unilateral dam construction represents an institutionally deficient approach to transboundary water governance, necessitating urgent trilateral cooperation mechanisms to prevent the transformation of shared water resources into instruments of geopolitical contestation.
Keywords
China, India, Yarlung Tsangpo, Medog Dam
Downloads
References
1. Barlow, M. (2017, March 23). Water: Commons or commodity? The Council of Canadians. Available at https://canadians.org/analysis/water-commons-or-commodity/ (accessed on September 18, 2025). [Google Scholar] [Crossref]
2. Bhaya, A. G. (2025). China's mega-dam on Yarlung Zangbo: A global game-changer in clean energy and regional cooperation. CGTN, July 22. Available at https://news.cgtn.com/news/2025-07-22/A-global-game-changer-in-clean-energy-and-regional-cooperation-1FdiEAtY0Ao/p.html (accessed on October 3, 2025). [Google Scholar] [Crossref]
3. BSS News. (2025). Chinese hydro-power project won't affect downstream countries: Envoy. July 21. Available at https://www.bssnews.net/news/294477 (accessed on September 18, 2025). [Google Scholar] [Crossref]
4. Chakravartty, A. (2025). Fresh anti-dam protests rock Arunachal's Adi heartland, with state government offering five crores for consent to survey Siang river. Down to Earth, May 24. Available at https://www.downtoearth.org.in/rivers/fresh-anti-dam-protests-rock-arunachals-adi-heartland-with-state-government-offering-five-crores-for-consent-to-survey-siang-river (accessed on September 18, 2025). [Google Scholar] [Crossref]
6. Detges, A., Pohl, B., & Schaller, S. (2017). Editor's pick: 10 violent water conflicts. Climate Diplomacy, August 20. Available at https://climate-diplomacy.org/magazine/conflict/editors-pick-10-violent-water-conflicts (accessed on November 20, 2025). [Google Scholar] [Crossref]
7. Gogoi, A., & Tripathi, B. (2019). More than 40% of India is reeling under drought, but the Centre may not even acknowledge it. Scroll.in. , April 4. Available at https://scroll.in/article/918797/more-than-40-of-india-is-reeling-under-drought-but-the-centre-may-not-even-acknowledge-it (accessed on September 21, 2025). [Google Scholar] [Crossref]
8. He, X., Chen, Z., Yang, Q., & Xu, C. (2025). Advances in earthquake and cascading disasters. Natural Hazards Research. [Google Scholar] [Crossref]
9. International Campaign for Tibet. (2024). Chinese hydropower damning Tibet's culture, community, and environment. Available at https://savetibet.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/FINAL_2024_dam-report_letter_web.pdf (accessed on December 20, 2025). [Google Scholar] [Crossref]
10. Jana, J. (2025). Water wars. The Statesman, January 22. Available at https://www.thestatesman.com/opinion/water-wars-3-1503389251.html (accessed on November 15, 2025). [Google Scholar] [Crossref]
11. Kumari, M. (2025). Brahmaputra at the crossroads: Upstream power, downstream worries in the India–China water conflict. Centre For Joint Warfare Studies, , August 11. Available at https://cenjows.in/brahmaputra-at-the-crossroads-upstream-power-downstream-worries-in-the-india-china-water-conflict/ (accessed on September 21, 2025). [Google Scholar] [Crossref]
12. Liu, L. (2013). More than half of China's rivers missing from national water survey. Global Times, March 27. Available at https://www.globaltimes.cn/content/770943.shtml (accessed on November 15, 2025). [Google Scholar] [Crossref]
13. Manhas, N. S. (2025). China's Medog county mega-dam is bad news for India and Bangladesh. The Interpreter, February 6. Available at https://www.lowyinstitute.org/the-interpreter/china-s-medog-county-mega-dam-bad-news-india-bangladesh (accessed on November 15, 2025). [Google Scholar] [Crossref]
14. Manhas, N. S., & Lad, R. M. (2024). China's weaponization of water in Tibet: A lesson for the lower riparian states. Journal of Indo-Pacific Affairs, 7(2). [Google Scholar] [Crossref]
15. Menon, G. (2024). Dammed in the Himalayas. Front Line, August 3. Available at https://frontline.thehindu.com/environment/sikkim-glacial-lake-earthquake-mount-everest-himalayas-hydropower-dams/article68449344.ece (accessed on November 28, 2025). [Google Scholar] [Crossref]
16. Ministry of External Affairs. (2025, February 6). Rajya Sabha unstarred question no. 393: World's largest dam on the Brahmaputra River by China. Available at https://www.mea.gov.in/rajya-sabha.htm?dtl/38974/question+no393+worlds+largest+dam+on+the+brahmaputra+river+by+china (accessed on November 18, 2025). [Google Scholar] [Crossref]
17. Pacific Institute. (2023). Violence over water increases globally according to new data from Pacific Institute water conflict chronology. November 15. Available at https://pacinst.org/announcement/violence-over-water-increases-globally-according-to-new-data-from-pacific-institute-water-conflict-chronology/ (accessed on November 18, 2025). [Google Scholar] [Crossref]
18. Pasricha, A. (2025). World's largest dam to be built by China raises concerns in India, Bangladesh. Voice of America, January 9. Available at https://www.voanews.com/a/world-s-largest-dam-to-be-built-by-china-raises-concerns-in-india-bangladesh/7931076.html (accessed on October 23, 2025). [Google Scholar] [Crossref]
19. Priya, P. (2025). China starts building $167 billion mega-dam on Brahmaputra amid India's 'water bomb' concern. Hindustan Times , July 20. Available at https://www.hindustantimes.com/world-news/china-starts-building-167-billion-mega-dam-on-brahmaputra-amid-indias-water-bomb-concern-101752985879585.html (accessed on October 23, 2025). [Google Scholar] [Crossref]
20. Rahman, M. Z. (2025). The implications of China's mega-dam project | Explained. The Hindu , January 6. Available at https://www.thehindu.com/news/international/the-implications-of-chinas-mega-dam-project-explained/article69064553.ece (accessed on October 23, 2025). [Google Scholar] [Crossref]
21. Rajendran, C. P. (2025). Dam-building spree is a zero-sum game. The New Indian Express, January 15. Available at https://www.newindianexpress.com/opinions/2025/Jan/14/dam-building-spree-is-a-zero-sum-game (accessed on October 23, 2025). [Google Scholar] [Crossref]
22. Ramachandran, S. (2025). Y Nithiyanandam on the risks of China's ambitious Yarlung Tsangpo project. The Diplomat, January 27. Available at https://thediplomat.com/2025/01/y-nithiyanandam-on-the-risks-of-chinas-ambitious-yarlung-tsangpo-project/ (accessed on December 22, 2025). [Google Scholar] [Crossref]
23. Reddy, R. K., & Mehta, R. (2025). Brahmaputra after Indus: China's upstream advantage or strategic myth? Organisation for Research on China and Asia (ORCA) , May 8. Available at https://orcasia.org/article/1168/brahmaputra-after-indus-chinas-upstream-advantage-or-strategic-myth (accessed on December 22, 2025). [Google Scholar] [Crossref]
24. Russia Today. (2017). Pope Francis says 'great world war for water' may be looming. February 25. Available at https://www.rt.com/news/378581-pope-francis-water-war/ (accessed on November 28, 2025). [Google Scholar] [Crossref]
25. Sehgal, K. L. (1999). Coldwater fish and fisheries in the Indian Himalayas: Rivers and streams. In Fish and fisheries at higher altitudes: Asia. Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations Technical Paper (Vol. 385, pp. 41-63). [Google Scholar] [Crossref]
26. Sharma, Y. (2025). 'Dam for a dam': India, China edge towards a Himalayan water war. Al Jazeera, January 24. Available at https://www.aljazeera.com/features/2025/1/24/dam-for-a-dam-india-china-edge-towards-a-himalayan-water-war (accessed on November 18, 2025). [Google Scholar] [Crossref]
27. Singh, A. P., & Tembey, U. (2020). India-China relations and the geopolitics of water. The Interpreter , July 23. Available at https://www.lowyinstitute.org/the-interpreter/india-china-relations-geopolitics-water (accessed on September 18, 2025). [Google Scholar] [Crossref]
28. The Arunachal Times. (2025a). 30 NGOs back protest against Siang Upper Multipurpose Project. June 1. Available at https://arunachaltimes.in/index.php/2025/06/01/30-ngos-back-protest-against-siang-upper-multipurpose-project/ (accessed on October 27, 2025). [Google Scholar] [Crossref]
29. The Arunachal Times. (2025b). SIFF alleges govt implementing SUMP forcibly. August 3. Available at https://arunachaltimes.in/index.php/2025/08/03/siff-alleges-govt-implementing-sump-forcibly/ (accessed on November 18, 2025). [Google Scholar] [Crossref]
30. The Assam Tribune. (2025). Brahmaputra fed by Indian rains: CM says reduced China flow may aid flood control. June 3. Available at https://assamtribune.com/assam/brahmaputra-fed-by-indian-rains-cm-says-reduced-china-flow-may-aid-flood-control-1579744 (accessed on September 18, 2025). [Google Scholar] [Crossref]
31. The Economic Times. (2025 b). China's new mega dam triggers fears of water war in India. August 25. Available at https://government.economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/secure-india/chinas-mega-dam-sparks-water-conflict-fears-in-india/123495769 (accessed on October 27, 2025). [Google Scholar] [Crossref]
32. The Economic Times. (2025 a). World's largest dam project in China a ticking 'water bomb' for India, says Arunachal CM Khandu. July 9. Available at https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/india/worlds-largest-dam-project-in-china-a-water-bomb-for-india-says-arunachal-cm-khandu/articleshow/122339121.cms?from=mdr (accessed on October 27, 2025). [Google Scholar] [Crossref]
33. The Hindu. (2024). Siang project not just for generating power but mitigating flood risks posed by China: Arunachal CM. December 29. Available at https://www.thehindu.com/news/national/arunachal-pradesh/siang-project-not-just-for-generating-power-but-mitigating-flood-risks-posed-by-china-arunachal-cm/article69039448.ece (accessed on September 18, 2025). [Google Scholar] [Crossref]
34. The Hindu. (2025). Dam on upper reaches Brahmaputra will not impact India, Bangladesh: China. July 24. Available at https://www.thehindu.com/news/international/dam-on-upper-reaches-brahmaputra-will-not-impact-india-bangladesh-china/article69848041.ece (accessed on December 19, 2025). [Google Scholar] [Crossref]
35. The Print. (2024). Siang project not just for generating power but mitigating flood risks posed by China: Arunachal CM. December 29. Available at https://theprint.in/india/siang-project-not-just-for-generating-power-but-mitigating-flood-risks-posed-by-china-arunachal-cm/2423607/ (accessed on December 19, 2025). [Google Scholar] [Crossref]
36. The Print. (2025).World's largest dam project in China a ticking 'water bomb' for India, says Arunachal CM Khandu. July 9. Available at https://theprint.in/india/worlds-largest-dam-project-in-china-a-water-bomb-for-india-says-arunachal-cm-khandu/2684583/ (accessed on September 18, 2025). [Google Scholar] [Crossref]
37. The Times of India. (2024). Activists misleading public on Siang dam project: Arunachal CM. December 18. https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/city/guwahati/activists-misleading-public-on-siang-dam-project-arunachal-cm/articleshowprint/116446069.cms (accessed on October 22, 2025). (accessed on October 22, 2025). [Google Scholar] [Crossref]
38. The Times of India. (2025). 'Dam over Brahmaputra won't impact water flows to India': China after New Delhi registers protest. January 6. Available at https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/dam-over-brahmaputra-wont-impact-water-flows-to-india-china-after-new-delhi-registers-protest/articleshowprint/116992074.cms (accessed on December 19, 2025). [Google Scholar] [Crossref]
39. Upadhyay, A. (2025). Exclusive: China hasn't shared river data with India since 2022, RTI query reveals. India Today , May 28. Available at https://www.indiatoday.in/india/story/china-has-not-shared-river-data-with-india-since-2022-rti-query-reveals-exclusive-2731993-2025-05-28 (accessed on October 22, 2025). [Google Scholar] [Crossref]
40. Walker, B. (2014). China and India ignore UN watercourses convention. Dialogue Earth , August 18. Available at https://dialogue.earth/en/climate/7229-china-and-india-ignore-un-watercourses-convention/ (accessed on October 22, 2025). [Google Scholar] [Crossref]
41. Wong, T. (2025). China begins building world's largest dam, fuelling fears in India. BBC , July 21. Available at https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c4gk1251w14o (accessed on December 19, 2025). [Google Scholar] [Crossref]
42. World Bank. (2016). High and dry: Climate change, water, and the economy. May 2. Available at https://www.worldbank.org/en/topic/water/publication/high-and-dry-climate-change-water-and-the-economy (accessed on October 22, 2025). [Google Scholar] [Crossref]
43. Xinhua. (2025). Chinese premier announces construction of Yarlung Zangbo hydropower project. July 19. Available at https://english.news.cn/20250719/a2e4342fa63a492c95f646c73bd3313c/c.html (accessed on December 22, 2025). [Google Scholar] [Crossref]
Metrics
Views & Downloads
Similar Articles
- Global Political Economy and Educational Reforms in the Global South: An Evolutionary Study of Ghana
- Electoral Militarization and the Challenges of Free and Fair Elections in Nigeria: A Focus on the 2023 Presidential Election
- Political Awareness and Engagement in Relation to Voting Behavior among College Students
- Role of Community Leaders in Ensuring Secure Electoral Process in Nairobi City County, Kenya
- Assessing the Delivery of Local Disaster Management Services and Client Satisfaction through SERVQUAL Dimensions